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3048 Desert Point TIA ORDINANCE NO. 3048 AN ORDINANCE OF THE CITY OF MOSES LAKE, WASHINGTON, DESIGNATING THE DESERT POINT TAX INCREMENT AREA; SETTING A SUNSET DATE FOR THE INCREMENT AREA; IDENTIFYING THE PUBLIC IMPROVEMENTS TO BE FINANCED; INDICATING THE CITY’S INTENT TO ISSUE BONDS TO FINANCE PUBLIC IMPROVEMENT COSTS IN A MAXIMUM PRINCIPAL AMOUNT NOT TO EXCEED $14,000,000: PROVIDING THAT THE INCREMENT AREA WILL TAKE EFFECT ON JUNE 1, 2024; IMPOSING A DEADLINE FOR COMMENCEMENT OF CONSTRUCTION; AND PROVIDING FOR RELATED MATTERS. WHEREAS, the City has identified a proposed Tax Increment Area (TIA) of approximately 96 acres of property that is being planned for residential and commercial development and is in need of substantial infrastructure improvements to support the desired development; and WHEREAS, the TIA has the opportunity, if developed, to provide a variety of multi-family housing, retail, restaurants, office space and amenities for the community providing for increased tax revenues to support City services and providing employment opportunities for the residents of the City; and WHEREAS, the Washington State Legislature, during its 2021 legislative session, enacted Engrossed Substitute House Bill 1189 as Chapter 207, Laws of 2021, titled "AN ACT Relating to tax increment financing" as amended by Chapter 354, Laws of 2023, and codified as Chapter 39.114 RCW (the “TIF Act”), which authorizes local governments, including cities, to carry out tax increment financing of public improvements needed to support vital private economic development projects; and WHEREAS, that the TIF ACT authorizes the allocation of property tax revenues generated from the increased assessed valuation of properties improved by private development that are within a TIA to pay for public improvements that are needed to support the private development; and WHEREAS, City management has identified the TIF public improvements (TIF Projects) to support the desired development based on market conditions necessary to accommodate housing demands and commercial tenants; and WHEREAS, the TIF Projects are estimated to cost approximately $14 million to construct; and WHEREAS, City management anticipates bringing forward for Council consideration an agreement between the City and the Desert Point Ownership Group (DP-OG) prior to the issuance of any debt that: (i) the OG-DP has agreed to be responsible for all of the debt issued by the City up to $10 million not covered by TIF revenues; and, (ii) the parties plan to develop a process for when invoices are generated by the City to the OG-DP based on revenue gaps to pay the City’s debt service, along with a reconciliation process to proportionately payback OG-DP if additional TIF revenue are generated in later years from private development. WHEREAS, The City plans to issue $9 million in debt in 2025 (funding for roads and utilities) and second debt issuance up to $5 million (for the State round-about) may occur no Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 1 of 74 later than 2029, allowing the City time to purse State grants or funding to eliminate or reduce the second debt issuance. WHEREAS, the City has prepared a Project Analysis for the Desert Point TIA and submitted such to the Office of the State Treasurer for review and comment as required by law; and WHEREAS, there currently exists no TIA within the City and the TIA designated by this ordinance does not consist of the entire geographical area of the City and does not have an assessed valuation of more than $200,000,000 or more than 20% of the City’s total assessed valuation; WHEREAS, the Office of the State Treasurer has completed its review of the Moses Lake Desert Point Project Analysis and has stated that the Project Analysis, generally addresses the topics listed in subsection (2) of RCW 39.114.020; and WHEREAS, the City has conducted public briefings on and provided notice of the proposed TIA to inform the community and other public agencies about the anticipated benefits and impacts associated with the development; and NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT ORDAINED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF MOSES LAKE, WASHINGTON, AS FOLLOWS: Section 1. Definitions. Capitalized terms used in this ordinance shall have the meanings set forth in the recitals to this ordinance above and in this Section 1. The uncapitalized terms "public improvement costs," "regular property taxes," and "tax allocation revenues," used in this ordinance shall have the meanings provided for those terms by RCW 39.114.010, as the context requires. "City" means the City of Moses Lake, Washington "Code" means the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, and applicable rules and regulations promulgated thereunder. "Council" means the Moses Lake City Council, acting in its legislative capacity. "County" means Grant County, Washington. "Finance Director" means the Director of Finance of the City or such other officer of the City who succeeds to substantially all of the responsibilities of that office. "Increment Area" means the approximately 96 acres of land designated by Section 2 of this ordinance as the “Desert Point TIA.” "Project Analysis" means the Desert Point Final Project Analysis submitted to the Washington State Treasurer on February 9, 2024, for its review and comment. "Treasurer's Review Letter'' means the letter to the City from the Office of State Treasurer dated May 6, 2024, summarizing its review of and providing comments, recommendations and acceptance with respect to the Project Analysis for consideration by the City. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 2 of 74 Section 2. Designation of Increment Area. Pursuant to the TIF Act, the City designates the approximately 96 acre parcel of land known as Desert Point and described in Exhibit A to this ordinance. In making this designation, the Council finds that the Increment Area (i) is the only increment area designated by the City under the TIF Act, (ii) is located within the boundaries of the City, (iii) does not include the City's entire territory, and (iv) does not have an assessed value on the date of this ordinance greater than the lesser of $200,000,000 or 20 percent of the total assessed value of taxable property within the City of $ $2,967,270,315 Section 3. Sunset Date of the Increment Area. The sunset date of the Increment Area is hereby set as (i) December 31, 2050, which is the date not later than 25 years after the first year (calendar year 2025) in which tax allocation revenues will be collected on taxable property within the Increment Area (the "outside sunset date"), or (ii) if earlier, the date ("an early sunset date") on which the City certifies to the County Treasurer that all public improvement costs to be paid or reimbursed with tax allocation revenues derived from the Increment Area have been fully paid, including but not limited to reimbursements to the City for principal and interest payments required to be made by the City from revenue sources other than tax allocation revenues on limited tax general obligation bonds issued to finance the portion of public improvement costs that are intended to be paid and retired, in whole, from tax allocation revenues, as authorized by RCW 39.114.060(1). Section 4. Identification of Public Improvements to Be Financed. The public improvements to be financed consist of the following infrastructure improvements to be owned by the City and the State of Washington located within or outside of and serving the Increment Area: a. Roads and Utilities (includes curb-gutter-sidewalks, landscaping, storm, water, sewer mains, and gateway features) b. State Round-about (at intersection of Highway 17 and Yonezawa Boulevard) The exact timing, specifications, and features of the public improvements described above are to be determined by the City. As authorized by RCW 39.114.020(1)(h), the City may expand, alter, or add to the public improvements identified above only if the City Council determines that such changes are necessary to assure that the public improvements identified above can be constructed or operated as intended. If the City Council determines that it has become impractical to acquire, construct, or equip any, or any portion of, the public improvements by reason of changed conditions, or costs substantially in excess of the amount of bond proceeds or tax allocation revenues, the City shall not be required to acquire, construct or equip such public improvements or portions. Section 5. Expected Issuance of Bonds to Finance a Portion of the Public Improvement Costs. Pursuant to RCW 39.114.060 and other law, including the applicable provisions of Chapters 39.36 and 39.46 RCW, the City intends to incur general indebtedness and issue limited tax general obligation bonds with a term of approximately 25 years to finance a portion (the "bond-financed portion") of the public improvement costs to be paid in whole or in part from tax allocation revenues. The City expects to pledge the tax allocation revenues received by the City from the Increment Area, the City’s other regular property tax revenues, other lawfully available revenues of the City, and the full faith and credit of the City. The bonds are expected to be issued as tax-exempt bonds under the applicable provisions of the Code; however, if and to the extent that bond counsel determines that any of the public improvements (or portions thereof) do not qualify to be financed with tax-exempt bonds, the City expects to allocate funding Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 3 of 74 sources other than proceeds of tax-exempt bonds, including but not limited to proceeds of taxable bonds, to the financing of those public improvements (or portions thereof). As of the date of adoption of this ordinance, the estimated maximum principal amount of bonds expected to be issued by the City to finance the bond-financed portion of the public improvement costs is $14 million. This estimated maximum principal amount of bonds is subject to change based upon the final timing, specifications, and features of the public improvements and the final public improvement costs of the public improvements identified in Section 4 of this ordinance. The amount of proceeds of such bonds also may vary (be lower or higher than the maximum principal amount of $14 million) to the extent that the bonds are sold with original issue premium or original issue discount (respectively). While the City will pledge its full faith and credit as well as its regular property tax revenues and other lawfully available revenues, in addition to tax allocation revenues received by the City from the Increment Area, to pay debt service on the bonds, the City intends that debt service on the bonds shall be payable, in whole, from tax allocation revenues as authorized by RCW 39.114.060(1). Accordingly, if and to the extent debt service payments on its general obligation bonds issued to finance the public improvements are required to be made from the City's other regular property tax revenues and/or from other lawfully available revenues because the amount of tax allocation revenues received are insufficient for that purpose, those debt service payments to that extent may be reimbursed from later-received tax allocation revenues that become available to reimburse the City for those debt service payments. The City intends that the provisions of Section 4 of this ordinance (identifying the public improvements to be financed) and this Section 5 (stating the estimated maximum amount of bonds expected to be issued) together shall constitute a declaration of official intent under Treasury Regulations §1.150-2 to reimburse with bond proceeds any original expenditures for the public improvements paid before the issue date of the bonds that are intended to finance the bond-financed portion of the public improvement costs. Section 6. Increment to Take Effect on June 1, 2024. The Increment Area designated in Section 2 of this ordinance shall take effect on June 1, 2024. Section 7. Deadline for Commencement of Construction of Public Improvements. The City expects that construction of the public improvements identified in Section 4 of this ordinance will commence after June 1, 2024. In no event will construction of those public improvements commence later than June 1, 2029, the date five years from the date of adoption of this ordinance, unless that deadline is extended for good cause. Section 8. Required Findings by the City Council. Based upon the Project Analysis, the Council finds that: The public improvements proposed to be paid or financed with tax allocation revenues are expected to encourage private development within the Increment Area-i.e., the private development of the Desert Point site, and to increase the assessed value of real property within the Increment Area; The private development that is anticipated to occur within the Increment Area as a result of the proposed public improvements will be permitted consistent with the applicable zoning and development standards of the City, which is expected to be the permitting jurisdiction for the Increment Area; Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 4 of 74 The private development would not reasonably be expected to occur solely through private investment within the reasonably foreseeable future without the proposed public improvements; and The increased assessed value of taxable property within the Increment Area that could reasonably be expected to occur without the proposed public improvements would be less than the increase in the assessed value estimated to result from the proposed private development with the proposed public improvements. Section 9. Preparation and Consideration of Project Analysis. As required by RCW 39.114.020(2), the Council has caused the Project Analysis, attached hereto as Exhibit B, to describe and analyze, among other matters, the factors and considerations listed in that statute. The Council takes note of the conclusion expressed in the Treasurer's Review Letter that the City's Project Analysis generally addresses the topics listed in subsection (2) of RCW 39.114.020. In its consideration and adoption of this ordinance, the Council has reviewed and considered, among other things, the Project Analysis and the Treasurer's Review Letter, attached hereto as Exhibit C, including the "Key Risks” and "Recommendations" noted in the Treasurer's Review Letter. Section 10. Reimbursement of Expenses Incurred by County Assessor and County Treasurer. Pursuant to RCW 39.114.020(6), the City may enter into arrangements to reimburse the County Assessor and County Treasurer for the expenses incurred by those officials in connection with the implementation and ongoing administration of the Increment Area as described in RCW 39.114.0l0(6)(e). Such expenses shall be a portion of the public improvement costs to be paid or reimbursed from tax allocation revenues derived from the Increment Area. Section 11. Public Briefings Held by the City. As required by RCW 39.114.020(7)(a), the City has held two public briefings for the community regarding the Desert Point development and the public improvements needed to serve the Increment Area. These public briefings were held on April 17, 2024, and May 7, 2024, and announced to the public at least two weeks prior to the date each briefing was held by publishing notice in the Columbia Basin Herald, a legal newspaper of general circulation in the City and the greater County area, and by posting information on the City’s website and on all of its social media sites. Each public briefing included a description of the Increment Area, the public improvements proposed to be financed with tax allocation revenues derived from the Increment Area, and a detailed estimate of tax revenues for the participating local governments and taxing districts, including the amounts allocated to the public improvements serving the Increment Area. The City also offered additional briefings for elected and administrative officials of the County Assessor and Treasurer, Port District, Library District, School District, and Hospital District, however no additional briefings were held. Section 12. Publication of Notice and Delivery of Ordinance Designating Increment Area. The City published the Public Briefing Notice two weeks prior to the briefings with information on the public improvements. Following the adoption of this ordinance, the City will deliver a certified copy of this adopted ordinance to the County Treasurer, the County Assessor, and the governing body of each taxing district within which the Increment Area is located at the respective addresses specified pursuant to RCW 42.56.040 within 10 days of the date on which the ordinance was adopted. Section 13. General Authorization and Ratification. The appropriate officers of the City are severally authorized to take such actions and to execute such documents as in their judgment Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 5 of 74 may be necessary or desirable to carry out the tax increment financing of the public improvements serving the Increment Area contemplated in connection with this ordinance. All actions taken prior to the effective date of this ordinance in furtherance of the purposes described in this ordinance and not inconsistent with the terms of this ordinance are ratified and confirmed in all respects. Section 14. Severability. The provisions of this ordinance are declared to be separate and severable. If a court of competent jurisdiction, all appeals having been exhausted or all appeal periods having run, finds any provision of this ordinance to be invalid or unenforceable as to any person or circumstance, such offending provision shall, if feasible, be deemed to be modified to be within the limits of enforceability or validity. However, if the offending provision cannot be so modified, it shall be null and void with respect to the particular person or circumstance, and all other provisions of this ordinance in all other respects, and the offending provision with respect to all other persons and all other circumstances, shall remain valid and enforceable. Section 15. Effective Date of Ordinance. This ordinance shall take effect and be in force from and after its passage on June 1, 2024. PASSED by the City Council of the City of Moses Lake, Washington this 14th day of May, 2024. ________________________________________ Dustin Swartz, Mayor ATTEST: ________________________________ Debbie Burke, City Clerk APPROVED AS TO FORM: __________________________________ Katherine L. Kenison, City Attorney Martinez Swartz Myers Fancher Madewell Lombardi Skaug Vote: Aye Aye Aye Aye Aye Nay Aye Date Published: May 20, 2024 Date Effective: June 1, 2024 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 6 of 74 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 7 of 74 I, the undersigned, City Clerk of the City of Moses Lake, Washington (the "City"), hereby certify as follows: The attached copy of Ordinance No. _____ (the "Ordinance") is a full, true and correct copy of the Ordinance duly adopted at a regular meeting of the Moses Lake City Council held on ________, 2024 (the "Meeting"), as that Ordinance appears on the minute book of the City. The Ordinance is in full force and effect. The Meeting was duly convened and held in all respects in accordance with law, the public was notified of the access options for remote attendance via the City's website, a quorum of the members of the Council was present throughout the meeting and a sufficient number of members of the Council present voted in the proper manner for the adoption of the Ordinance. Dated: _______________________________ _____________________________________ City Clerk Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 8 of 74 Exhibit A: Tax Increment Area (TIA) Parcels in the Desert Point TIA, Grant County WA include: Parcel ID 110076001 110075002 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 9 of 74 Exhibit B: Desert Point Project Analysis Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 10 of 74 Exhibit C: Office of State Treasurer Project Analysis Review Letter Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 11 of 74 MOSES LAKE TAX INCREMENT FINANCING (TIF) PROJECT ANALYSIS February 9, 2024 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 12 of 74 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This Project Analysis was prepared for the City of Moses Lake by Stowe Development & Strategies, LLC in association with ECONorthwest (SDS/ECO team). The Project Analysis represents a thorough and comprehensive evaluation of a future Tax Increment Financing program and establishment of a Tax Increment Area for a significant development opportunity in Moses Lake located in Northeast area of the City adjacent to Highway 17 and east of Yonezawa Boulevard. The production of this report would not have been possible without the participation, collaboration, and guidance of the following individuals and groups. Moses Lake Mayor & City Council • Mayor Dustin Swartz • Deputy Mayor Judy Madewell • Councilmember Victor Lombardi • Councilmember David Skaug • Councilmember Deanna Martinez • Councilmember Don Myers • Councilmember Mark Fancher City of Moses Lake Staff • Kevin Fuhr, City Manager • Madeline Prentice, Finance Director • Katherine Kenison, City Attorney • Kirsten Peterson, Community Development Director • Brian Baltzell, Public Works Director Legal and Financial Consultants • Cynthia Weed, Bond Counsel, K&L Gates – Partner • Jim Nelson, Financial Advisor, D.A. Davidson Company Increment Financing Consultants • Bob Stowe, Stowe Development & Strategies (TIF Project Manager) • Morgan Shook, ECONorthwest Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 13 of 74 3 Table of Contents Introduction/Summary .................................................................................................................. 5 Highlights ............................................................................................................................................................. 5 Other Revenues and Options ................................................................................................................................ 7 Development Opportunity and Vision ........................................................................................... 8 TIA Infrastructure Needs ............................................................................................................ 10 Tax Increment Area ..................................................................................................................... 11 Tax Increment Revenue Projections ........................................................................................... 12 Overview of TIF Allocation Revenues ............................................................................................................... 12 TIA Allocation Revenue Modeling .............................................................................................. 14 Private Development Assumptions .................................................................................................................... 14 TIA Allocation Revenues ................................................................................................................................... 16 Financing Plan/Duration of TIA ......................................................................................................................... 22 Debt Issuance and Debt Service Coverage ......................................................................................................... 23 Jobs Analysis ................................................................................................................................ 26 Construction Employment .................................................................................................................................. 26 Ongoing Employment ........................................................................................................................................ 26 Impact Assessment and Mitigation ............................................................................................. 28 Affordable Housing ............................................................................................................................................ 28 Local Business Community ................................................................................................................................ 28 Local School District .......................................................................................................................................... 28 Local Fire Service ............................................................................................................................................... 28 Outreach to Impacted Taxing Districts ....................................................................................... 29 TIF “But-For” Requirement ....................................................................................................... 30 Expected Development Without TIF Improvements ......................................................................................... 31 Summary of “But-For-Requirement” ................................................................................................................. 31 Additional Incremental Taxes ..................................................................................................... 32 City of Moses Lake ............................................................................................................................................ 32 Sales & Use Taxes .............................................................................................................................................. 32 Utility Taxes ....................................................................................................................................................... 33 State Shared Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax & Liquor Board/Taxes ........................................................................... 33 Real Estate Excise Tax (REET) ......................................................................................................................... 33 Hotel/Motel Taxes .............................................................................................................................................. 33 Transportation Benefit District ........................................................................................................................... 34 Tax Base Productivity Assumptions .................................................................................................................. 34 Summary of Additional Tax Results .................................................................................................................. 34 Risk Assessment and Mitigation Plan ......................................................................................... 36 Private Development Risk Mitigation ................................................................................................................ 36 City Financial Mitigation ................................................................................................................................... 38 Level 1: Debt Issuance Timing/Grants/Private Development Financial Backstop. ........................................... 38 Level 2: Additional Taxes from Moderate Development Scenario: .................................................................. 38 Level 3: General Fund Reserves & Re-Prioritization of Existing Capital Projects. .......................................... 39 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 14 of 74 4 Additional Mitigation Measures ......................................................................................................................... 40 Public Improvement Cost Containment ............................................................................................................. 40 Financial Mitigation Summary ........................................................................................................................... 40 Moses Lake TIF Team ................................................................................................................. 41 Future TIF Actions ...................................................................................................................... 41 Remaining TIF Schedule ............................................................................................................ 42 Findings | Bottom Line ................................................................................................................ 43 APPENDICES ............................................................................................................................. 44 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 15 of 74 5 Introduction/Summary This Project Analysis explains in detail the proposed TIA designation of the City’s public improvement projects, envisioned private development, and associated tax increment revenue to fund the public improvement projects. Highlights • $14 Million Total TIF Public Improvements o Roads and Utilities: $9 million o State Round-about: $5 million • Private Development at Build-Out: o 510 multi-family units o 60,000 square foot hotel o 340,000 square feet of large format retail o 81,000 square feet of office and related uses o 39,900 square feet of general retail and food & beverage • TIF Allocation Revenues o Present Value (2023$): $12.1 million o Nominal Value: $23.5 million • $178 Million of Market Value of Private Development at Build-Out • Additional Tax Revenue o Present Value (2023$): $33.7 million o Nominal Value: $68.4 million • 630 Temporary Construction Jobs • 480 Ongoing Jobs Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 16 of 74 6 Tax Increment Financing (TIF) is a powerful economic development tool and was adopted into law in Washington State in 2021. The Washington State Legislature created the TIF authority through House Bill 1189 (codified as Chapter 39.114 RCW) for a city, county, or port to create a tax increment area (TIA). TIFs are used throughout the United States to promote economic development. Figure 1: Basic TIF Model Source: Stowe Development & Strategies, 2023 In general, our State’s TIF is a financing option that allows a public agency (city, county, or port) to fund publicly-owned infrastructure determined necessary to encourage the envisioned private development within a TIA designated by the public agency. As private development occurs (as a result of the public agencies investment in the identified public improvements), property values rise, and the public agency uses the property tax generated by that development in the TIA to pay for the public improvement projects. After the project costs are paid, the public agency retires the TIA. There are several key limitations to TIF in this State which include the following: • No more than two active increment areas per sponsoring jurisdiction and they may not overlap. • Increment areas may not total more than $200 million in assessed valuation, or more than 20% of the total assessed valuation of the sponsoring jurisdiction, whichever is less. • Cannot add additional public improvements or change the boundary of the increment area once adopted. • Must include a deadline of 5 years following the TIF adoption ordinance by when construction of public improvements will begin (ability to extend for good cause). • The local government may only receive TIF revenues for the period of time necessary to pay the costs of the public improvements. • If the local government finances the public improvements, the increment area must be retired no more than 25 years after the adoption of the ordinance designating the increment area. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 17 of 74 7 Risks Because increased tax revenue is generated after a local government begins construction on public infrastructure and after private development occurs, using TIF is risky. Understanding and accepting a certain level of risk is important as the City will be obligated for the repayment of any bond debt that is issued for the infrastructure improvements, regardless whether the projected private development and property tax materialize. Sponsoring jurisdictions must evaluate risks associated with TIF. The two main risks are: 1) expected private development does not occur; occurs slower than expected; and/or, the type of development and its magnitude is less than expected, and 2) cost for infrastructure improvements is higher than projected. These risks impact the expected TIF revenues and/or the public infrastructure improvements cost. If revenues are not sufficient to cover the cost, the sponsoring jurisdiction must then use other sources of revenue to pay for the public infrastructure. A mitigation plan may alleviate some risks. Other risks include over-investment of infrastructure, or building infrastructure which isn’t necessary for development to occur, resulting in loss of tax dollars that could have been used for other public purposes. Local governments can guard against and potentially avoid over-investing and under-development by carefully evaluating the local market conditions and analyzing the But-For requirement. Utilized correctly, growth and development in a TIA will pay for the infrastructure investments that encouraged it. Other Revenues and Options This Project Analysis also examines other anticipated revenues from the projected private development, including sales tax on construction and ongoing sales tax. Additionally, we examine sequencing appropriate infrastructure improvements with multiple bond issues over time (e.g., 5-year period) as well as structuring debt service to align with projected property tax revenues generated to better manage risks. Following TIA adoption, the City has multiple levers to direct a successful project utilizing TIA generated revenues and safeguarding its other resources. These options include amount of debt issued and when to issue debt based upon expected private development type and scale, as well as refinement of infrastructure cost estimates. Private development interest and anticipated interest rates will drive the City’s actions; the City can proceed with the development plan identified here, or, because the City has up to five years after passing the TIF ordinance, may modify it as conditions may change. The City could choose not to issue any debt, especially if development interest substantially changes to a very low level or the cost of debt it too high. The City could use a pay-as-you-go strategy for the infrastructure; however, doing so will likely delay the timing and reduce the scale of the private development. It is important to point out that the Ownership Group for the proposed private development of Desert Point (OG-DP) has agreed to be responsible for all debt up to $10 million issued by the City not covered by TIF revenues. Finally, the City could also rescind or retire the TIA by ordinance prior to incurring debt. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 18 of 74 8 Development Opportunity and Vision The OG-DP has proposed a large mixed used development site referred to as Desert Point in the northeast part of the City of Moses Lake. Desert Point will be anchored by local, regional, and national retail tenants; as well as, provide additional medical and employment options. Desert Point will also provide multi-family housing options and be an entertainment destination for the local and regional trade area. The overall site covers approximately 96 acres in land coverage with development parcels of 82 acres. A site context map is shown in the figure below. Figure 2: Desert Point Context Map Source: Ownership Group – Desert Point, 2023 The Desert Point project plans for approximately 1.4 million square feet of building space across commercial and residential uses, including: • 510 multi-family units • A 60,000 square foot hotel • 340,000 square feet of large format retail • 81,000 square feet of office and related uses • 39,900 square feet of general retail and food & beverage Preliminary plans for Desert Point are shown in the figure below. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 19 of 74 9 Figure 3: Preliminary Development Site Map by Phase Source: Ownership Group – Desert Point, 2023 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 20 of 74 10 TIA Infrastructure Needs The City has identified that the below public improvements and costs are necessary to incentivize private development within the TIA. Preliminary plans call for the development of three roads (Roads A, B, C) and round-about on Highway 17 in the figure below. Roads and Utilities: $9 million (includes curb-gutter-sidewalks, landscaping, storm, water, sewer mains, and gateway features) Round-About $5 million Total (TIF) $14 million Figure 4: Public Improvement Plans Source: Ownership Group – Desert Point, 2023 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 21 of 74 11 1 Tax Increment Area The TIA includes a small area of the City of approximately 96 acres. The assessed valuation of the TIA in 2023 is approximately $6,782,120 (2023 certified values for 2024 taxes). It is well below either the $200 million assessed valuation threshold or 20 percent of the City of Moses Lake’s total regular assessed valuation of $2,967,270,315 since the TIA is 0.2% of the total valuation. The TIA boundary was selected because it represents a planned development that can be built over time as the result of the infrastructure improvements funded by TIF. Figure 5: Recommended Tax Increment Area Source: ECONorthwest, 2023 The below table in Figure 6 summarizes the parcel identification numbers and assessed values of properties in the TIF area which total $6,782,120 (2023 certified values for 2024 tax year). Figure 6: List of Parcels in TIA Source: ECONorthwest, 2023 Parcel ID Area (acres) Appraised Land Value Appraised Improvement Value Total Appraised Value 110076001 4 $468,270 $0 $468,270 110075002 92.2 $6,313,850 $0 $6,313,850 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 22 of 74 12 Tax Increment Revenue Projections Overview of TIF Allocation Revenues Following guidance issued by the Washington State Department of Revenue (June 29, 2022), the analysis estimates the apportionment of taxes to the TIA. These revenues are available to the sponsoring local jurisdiction for funding the identified public infrastructure projects (that are named in the ordinance). Under the TIF legislation, only certain regular levies are available to the TIA. Using latest tax rates available (tax year 2023), levy rates in the proposed TIA use $5.19 of the $10.87 total levy, approximately 47.8% of the total 2023 levy rate. Since these are regular levies, the taxes must conform with the constitutional 1% limit as well as the $5.90 aggregate limits. Both parts of the State School levy as well as local school district excess levies are excluded. In addition, any taxes levied by port districts for the purpose of making payment on bonds would be excluded. Broadly, TIF in Washington allocates a portion of incremental property taxes to the TIA based on the amount of assessed value added to the TIA. This means that each taxing district that includes the TIA within its boundaries will receive that portion of its regular property taxes produced by the rate of tax levied by the taxing district based on the assessed value of real property located in the area for taxes imposed in the year that the TIA was created (the base value). This amount will flow to those taxing districts for the period that the TIA is in place. The local government that created the TIA will receive the additional portion of the regular property taxes levied by each taxing district based on the increment value within the increment area. For the local government that created the TIA, this includes its own portion of the regular levy. Those affected levies will be able to include an increment add-on value (similar to the new construction add-on value) as part of their levy for the years that TIF is in place. Property taxes from the TIA begin on the calendar year following the passage of the ordinance. The County Treasurer will distribute these funds to the agency that created the TIA. The table below shows the Levy Rate Composition for 2023 Taxes. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 23 of 74 13 Figure 7: TIA Levy Rates in Use Source: ECONorthwest analysis of Grant County Assessor District Levy Rates, 2023 Levy Code Area 71 2023 Taxes Rates Exempt: State Property Tax Exempt: Excess and Other Levies Available for TIF allocation Total $10.86847 $2.6852 $2.9897 $5.1935 State Part 1 $1.74976 $1.7498 $0.0000 Part 2 $0.93544 $0.9354 $0.0000 County Regular_Current Expense $1.21299 $1.2130 Regular_Veterans Aid $0.01125 $0.0113 Regular_Mental Health $0.02500 $0.0250 Port #10 (Moses Lake) General Fund $0.41400 $0.4140 Bond Fund $0.0000 $0.0000 City of Moses Lake Regular Levy $2.71886 $2.7189 City Bond $0.22500 $0.2250 $0.0000 School #161 Enrichment $1.31378 $1.3138 $0.0000 Bond $1.45094 $1.4509 $0.0000 Capital $0.0000 $0.0000 Hospital District #1 Regular Levy $0.52501 $0.5250 Library District Regular Levy $0.28644 $0.2864 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 24 of 74 14 TIA Allocation Revenue Modeling New incremental development in the TIA will drive future growth in incremental assessed value. These values will then be multiplied by the levy rate in the respective years to estimate the amount of TIA allocation revenues. To accomplish this, there are four separate analyses that must be completed. Forecast incremental TIA assessed value. Based on the development program, the future assessed value is estimated by assigning market-based improvement prices based on the land use and size of the proposed development. Forecast jurisdiction assessed value. Outside of growth in the incremental assessed value in the TIA, it is necessary to forecast growth in the City’s overall assessed value (not counting the incremental growth in the TIA. Forecast highest lawful levy. For each taxing jurisdiction in the TIA, future levies must be estimated. To do so, the amount of new construction, other add-on value, 101% limit factor, total levy limit, and the maximum allowable levy must be taken into consideration. From that interplay, it is possible to estimate what the given levy will be for any respective jurisdiction in the future. Forecast levy rates. Once the levy and assessed value are known in future years, it is possible to calculate the levy rate (divide levy by thousands of assessed value). TIA allocations are made by multiplying the levy rate by the incremental TIF assessed value. To model TIA allocation property tax revenues, a 25-year cash flow model was created to reflect development over time and applied the appropriate property tax base productivity and property tax rates to estimate the stream of future property tax revenues. Private Development Assumptions Based on discussions with the City and OG-DP, the following Baseline development scenario was created for purposes of this Project Analysis. The Baseline analysis is derived from the project level assumptions provided by the OG-DP. Overall, it is estimated that a present value of the market value exceeds $178 million. The overall development program is described below. OG-DP’s preliminary understanding of the development program expects development to occur over three phases as represented in the Figure 7 below. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 25 of 74 15 Figure 8: Development Program by Phase Source: Ownership Group – Desert Point, 2023 Additionally, the analysis has provided three sensitivity tests of this program to test the potential variance of TIA allocation revenues. • Levy Rate Decline Scenario (Figure 10 below). The first is to test macro conditions that might impact the calculation of the levy rate per the 1% limit factor that governs regular levies. This scenario tests a lower bound of the levy rate where it falls faster over time than the Baseline analysis. Due to the 1% limit factor, assessed value as generally grows faster than levies leading to a condition where levy rates fall over time. This scenario tests the idea that this falling levy rate may be more than what is assumed in the Baseline analysis leading to 21% fewer tax allocation dollars per dollar increment of growth. • Lower Valuation Scenario (Figure 11 below). The second sensitivity tests a potential lower valuation of the project stemming from economic conditions or the assessment process. The Baseline analysis assumes the market (or taxable) value of the projects will DEVELOPMENT REVENUE - PHASE I - 2025-2027 #Land Acreage Use Bldg SF Per $ / SF Total Market Value 1 15.00 ac North 40 Outfitters 115,000 135.00$ 15,525,000$ 8 1.47 ac STCU & ICCU Credit Union 6,000 160.00$ 960,000$ 9 7.19 ac Apartment Complex (Phase I - 150 units)267,000 112.00$ 29,904,000$ 11 1.47 ac Sit Down Resturant - 10,000 160.00$ 1,600,000$ 13 2.14 ac Gas/C-Store 5,200 150.00$ 780,000$ 14 3.13 ac Car Wash & Bank Pads 10,000 170.00$ 1,700,000$ 15, 16, 17 5.00 ac Ruby & Hilton Hotel & Event Center 60,000 150.00$ 9,000,000$ 35.40 ac 473,200 59,469,000$ DEVELOPMENT REVENUE - PHASE II - 2027-2029 #Land Acreage Use Bldg SF Per $ / SF Total Market Value 7 2.01 ac Retail Strip Bldg 9,200 150.00$ 1,380,000$ 9 7.19 ac Apartment Complex (Phase II - 180 units)315,000 115.00$ 36,225,000$ 12 1.26 ac QSR Resturant 4,000 150.00$ 600,000$ 18, 19 2.00 ac Office / Retail Building 20,000 140.00$ 2,800,000$ 21 10.00 ac Big Box / Grocery Store (Fred Meyer)115,000 130.00$ 14,950,000$ 22 1.00 ac Grocery Pad Bldg.3,500 160.00$ 560,000$ 23.46 ac 466,700 56,515,000$ DEVELOPMENT REVENUE - PHASE III - 2029-2031 #Land Acreage Use Bldg SF Per $ / SF Total Market Value 6 4.84 ac Medical / Dental Office Bldg 45,000 180.00$ 8,100,000$ 9 7.19 ac Apartment Complex (Phase III -180 units)315,000 120.00$ 37,800,000$ 10 2.42 ac Junior Box Retail 28,000 140.00$ 3,920,000$ 20 7.00 ac Junior Box Retail 82,000 135.00$ 11,070,000$ 23 1.00 ac Grocery Pad Bldg.4,000 160.00$ 640,000$ 14 1.00 ac Grocery Pad Bldg.4,000 160.00$ 640,000$ 23.45 ac 478,000 62,170,000$ Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 26 of 74 16 be more than the construction cost. However, many properties are not assessed at the full market value requiring some equalization process. This sensitivity tests a potential bound where projects are assessed at 75% of their expected market value. • Lower Absorption Scenario (Figure 12 below). The last scenario tests a smaller and slower absorption of the Baseline scenario. Here. It is assumed that 75% of the project is completed and construction is delayed 3 years. Understanding and accepting a certain level of risk is important as the City will be obligated for the repayment of any bond debt that is issued for the infrastructure improvements, regardless of the projected private development and property tax materialize. To mitigate this risk, OG- DP has agreed to be responsible for all debt issued by the City up to $10 million not covered by TIF revenues (see the Private Development Risk Mitigation section below). TIA Allocation Revenues Using the assumptions identified in the Baseline development scenario by phase, future assessed values of those improvements are estimated and serve as a foundation for the expected TIA allocation revenues. For example, a vertical project is constructed in a certain year, the assessor assesses it, and the incremental assessed value is determined by subtracting that base value. This increment value is then multiplied by a forecast of the levy rate in the respective year to determine the TIA allocation revenues from all the affected TIF regular levies. The following tables summarizes the discounted value of 25 years of TIA allocation revenues that would flow to the City of Moses Lake based on the Baseline development scenario sorted by phase contribution. The analysis assumed the TIA is created in 2024 using 2023 certified values. Due to the lagging nature of the property tax, the first year of calculated increment will be in 2025 for 2026 taxes. Therefore, TIA allocation revenues will run through the end of tax year 2050. The revenues are shown in present value and nominal dollars. The present values are discounted at a rate of 5% to approximate the City’s cost of capital (debt and issuance costs) to give some approximate value of the TIA cash flows. The nominal dollars are shown since this is ultimately the amount that the City can draw upon to service principal and interest on its debt payments. These values are shown in the figure below. Figure 9: TIF Allocation Revenues for Baseline Development Scenario Source: ECONorthwest calculations, 2023. Note: Total may not sum due to rounding. Present Value Nominal Value Moses Lake $6,320,000 $12,257,000 Grant County $2,950,000 $5,728,000 Port of Moses Lake $960,000 $1,870,000 Hospital $1,220,000 $2,370,000 Library $670,000 $1,292,000 Total $12,120,000 $23,513,000 TIA Allocation Revenue Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 27 of 74 17 The TIF allocation revenues from the Baseline development scenario are estimated to have: • Present Value (2023$): $12.1 million • Nominal Value: $23.5 million Figure 10: TIF Allocation Revenues for Levy Rate Decline Scenario Source: ECONorthwest calculations, 2023. Note: Total may not sum due to rounding. The TIF allocation revenues from the levy rate decline scenario are estimated to have: • Present Value (2023$): $10.1 million • Nominal Value: $19.7 million Figure 11: TIF Allocation Revenues for Lower Valuation Scenario Source: ECONorthwest calculations, 2023. Note: Total may not sum due to rounding. The TIF allocation revenues from the lower valuation scenario are estimated to have: • Present Value (2023$): $9.1 million • Nominal Value: $17.6 million Present Value Nominal Value Moses Lake $5,240,000 $10,168,000 Grant County $2,530,000 $4,904,000 Port of Moses Lake $800,000 $1,551,000 Hospital $1,010,000 $1,970,000 Library $550,000 $1,073,000 Total $10,130,000 $19,659,000 TIA Allocation Revenue Present Value Nominal Value Moses Lake $4,740,000 $9,191,000 Grant County $2,210,000 $4,293,000 Port of Moses Lake $720,000 $1,401,000 Hospital $920,000 $1,776,000 Library $500,000 $969,000 Total $9,090,000 $17,636,000 TIA Allocation Revenue Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 28 of 74 18 Figure 12: TIF Allocation Revenues for Lower Absorption Scenario Source: ECONorthwest calculations, 2023. Note: Total may not sum due to rounding. The TIF allocation revenues from the lower valuation scenario are estimated to have: • Present Value (2023$): $7.5 million • Nominal Value: $15.7 million Figures 13, 14, and 15 below summarizes the property taxes that will remain in the affected taxing districts and, identifies the property tax allocation values that will flow to the TIA. They are shown for: • Moses Lake • Grant County • Port of Moses Lake • Hospital District • Regional Library District Present Value Nominal Value Moses Lake $3,890,000 $8,170,000 Grant County $1,820,000 $3,815,000 Port of Moses Lake $590,000 $1,245,000 Hospital $750,000 $1,577,000 Library $410,000 $863,000 Total $7,460,000 $15,670,000 TIA Allocation Revenue Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 29 of 74 19 Figure 13: Summary of TIA Contributions by Tax Jurisdiction – Baseline Scenario City of Moses Lake and Port of Moses Lake Source: ECONorthwest calculations, 2023. Assessment Year Base Value Increment Value Levy Rate Total Property Tax Tax Allocated to TIF Tax Allocated to City 2024 $6,782,120 $0 $2.591 $17,573 $0 $17,573 2025 $6,782,120 $0 $2.551 $17,299 $0 $17,299 2026 $6,782,120 $31,623,838 $2.511 $96,430 $37,106 $17,029 2027 $6,782,120 $65,034,422 $2.472 $177,503 $75,117 $16,763 2028 $6,782,120 $99,058,249 $2.433 $257,515 $112,631 $16,501 2029 $6,782,120 $134,952,720 $2.395 $339,466 $151,049 $16,244 2030 $6,782,120 $173,950,528 $2.358 $426,114 $191,660 $15,990 2031 $6,782,120 $215,044,425 $2.321 $514,839 $233,239 $15,741 2032 $6,782,120 $220,743,102 $2.285 $519,824 $235,684 $15,495 2033 $6,782,120 $226,592,795 $2.249 $524,868 $238,154 $15,253 2034 $6,782,120 $232,597,504 $2.214 $529,971 $240,650 $15,015 2035 $6,782,120 $238,761,338 $2.179 $535,134 $243,172 $14,781 2036 $6,782,120 $245,088,513 $2.145 $540,357 $245,721 $14,550 2037 $6,782,120 $251,583,359 $2.112 $545,640 $248,296 $14,323 2038 $6,782,120 $258,250,318 $2.079 $550,985 $250,898 $14,100 2039 $6,782,120 $265,093,951 $2.046 $556,392 $253,528 $13,880 2040 $6,782,120 $272,118,941 $2.015 $561,862 $256,185 $13,663 2041 $6,782,120 $279,330,093 $1.983 $567,394 $258,870 $13,450 2042 $6,782,120 $286,732,340 $1.952 $572,990 $261,583 $13,240 2043 $6,782,120 $294,330,747 $1.922 $578,649 $264,325 $13,033 2044 $6,782,120 $302,130,512 $1.892 $584,374 $267,095 $12,830 2045 $6,782,120 $310,136,970 $1.862 $590,164 $269,894 $12,630 2046 $6,782,120 $318,355,600 $1.833 $596,020 $272,723 $12,433 2047 $6,782,120 $326,792,024 $1.805 $601,942 $275,581 $12,238 2048 $6,782,120 $335,452,012 $1.776 $607,931 $278,469 $12,047 2049 $6,782,120 $344,341,491 $1.749 $613,989 $281,388 $11,859 2050 $6,782,120 $353,466,540 $1.721 $620,114 $284,337 $11,674 2051 $6,782,120 $362,833,403 $1.694 $626,309 $287,317 $11,492 2052 $6,782,120 $372,448,489 $1.668 $632,573 $290,328 $11,313 Assessment Year Base Value Increment Value Levy Rate Total Property Tax Tax Allocated to TIF Tax Allocated to Port 2024 $6,782,120 $0 $0.395 $2,679 $0 $2,679 2025 $6,782,120 $0 $0.389 $2,637 $0 $2,637 2026 $6,782,120 $31,623,838 $0.383 $14,701 $12,105 $2,596 2027 $6,782,120 $65,034,422 $0.377 $27,061 $24,505 $2,556 2028 $6,782,120 $99,058,249 $0.371 $39,259 $36,743 $2,516 2029 $6,782,120 $134,952,720 $0.365 $51,752 $49,276 $2,476 2030 $6,782,120 $173,950,528 $0.359 $64,962 $62,524 $2,438 2031 $6,782,120 $215,044,425 $0.354 $78,488 $76,089 $2,400 2032 $6,782,120 $220,743,102 $0.348 $79,248 $76,886 $2,362 2033 $6,782,120 $226,592,795 $0.343 $80,017 $77,692 $2,325 2034 $6,782,120 $232,597,504 $0.338 $80,795 $78,506 $2,289 2035 $6,782,120 $238,761,338 $0.332 $81,582 $79,329 $2,253 2036 $6,782,120 $245,088,513 $0.327 $82,379 $80,160 $2,218 2037 $6,782,120 $251,583,359 $0.322 $83,184 $81,001 $2,184 2038 $6,782,120 $258,250,318 $0.317 $83,999 $81,849 $2,150 2039 $6,782,120 $265,093,951 $0.312 $84,823 $82,707 $2,116 2040 $6,782,120 $272,118,941 $0.307 $85,657 $83,574 $2,083 2041 $6,782,120 $279,330,093 $0.302 $86,500 $84,450 $2,050 2042 $6,782,120 $286,732,340 $0.298 $87,354 $85,335 $2,018 2043 $6,782,120 $294,330,747 $0.293 $88,216 $86,229 $1,987 2044 $6,782,120 $302,130,512 $0.288 $89,089 $87,133 $1,956 2045 $6,782,120 $310,136,970 $0.284 $89,972 $88,046 $1,925 2046 $6,782,120 $318,355,600 $0.279 $90,865 $88,969 $1,895 2047 $6,782,120 $326,792,024 $0.275 $91,767 $89,902 $1,866 2048 $6,782,120 $335,452,012 $0.271 $92,681 $90,844 $1,837 2049 $6,782,120 $344,341,491 $0.267 $93,604 $91,796 $1,808 2050 $6,782,120 $353,466,540 $0.262 $94,538 $92,758 $1,780 2051 $6,782,120 $362,833,403 $0.258 $95,482 $93,730 $1,752 2052 $6,782,120 $372,448,489 $0.254 $96,437 $94,713 $1,725 Moses Lake Port of Moses Lake Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 30 of 74 20 Figure 14: Summary of TIA Contributions by Tax Jurisdiction – Baseline Scenario Grant County and Regional Library Source: ECONorthwest calculations, 2023. Assessment Year Base Value Increment Value Levy Rate Total Property Tax Tax Allocated to TIF Tax Allocated to County 2024 $6,782,120 $0 $1.249 $8,472 $0 $8,472 2025 $6,782,120 $0 $1.192 $8,084 $0 $8,084 2026 $6,782,120 $31,623,838 $1.173 $45,064 $37,106 $7,958 2027 $6,782,120 $65,034,422 $1.155 $82,951 $75,117 $7,834 2028 $6,782,120 $99,058,249 $1.137 $120,342 $112,631 $7,711 2029 $6,782,120 $134,952,720 $1.119 $158,640 $151,049 $7,591 2030 $6,782,120 $173,950,528 $1.102 $199,132 $191,660 $7,473 2031 $6,782,120 $215,044,425 $1.085 $240,595 $233,239 $7,356 2032 $6,782,120 $220,743,102 $1.068 $242,925 $235,684 $7,241 2033 $6,782,120 $226,592,795 $1.051 $245,282 $238,154 $7,128 2034 $6,782,120 $232,597,504 $1.035 $247,667 $240,650 $7,017 2035 $6,782,120 $238,761,338 $1.018 $250,080 $243,172 $6,907 2036 $6,782,120 $245,088,513 $1.003 $252,520 $245,721 $6,800 2037 $6,782,120 $251,583,359 $0.987 $254,989 $248,296 $6,693 2038 $6,782,120 $258,250,318 $0.972 $257,487 $250,898 $6,589 2039 $6,782,120 $265,093,951 $0.956 $260,014 $253,528 $6,486 2040 $6,782,120 $272,118,941 $0.941 $262,570 $256,185 $6,385 2041 $6,782,120 $279,330,093 $0.927 $265,155 $258,870 $6,285 2042 $6,782,120 $286,732,340 $0.912 $267,770 $261,583 $6,187 2043 $6,782,120 $294,330,747 $0.898 $270,415 $264,325 $6,091 2044 $6,782,120 $302,130,512 $0.884 $273,090 $267,095 $5,996 2045 $6,782,120 $310,136,970 $0.870 $275,796 $269,894 $5,902 2046 $6,782,120 $318,355,600 $0.857 $278,533 $272,723 $5,810 2047 $6,782,120 $326,792,024 $0.843 $281,300 $275,581 $5,719 2048 $6,782,120 $335,452,012 $0.830 $284,099 $278,469 $5,630 2049 $6,782,120 $344,341,491 $0.817 $286,930 $281,388 $5,542 2050 $6,782,120 $353,466,540 $0.804 $289,793 $284,337 $5,456 2051 $6,782,120 $362,833,403 $0.792 $292,688 $287,317 $5,371 2052 $6,782,120 $372,448,489 $0.780 $295,615 $290,328 $5,287 Assessment Year Base Value Increment Value Levy Rate Total Property Tax Tax Allocated to TIF Tax Allocated to Library 2024 $6,782,120 $0 $0.273 $1,854 $0 $1,854 2025 $6,782,120 $0 $0.269 $1,825 $0 $1,825 2026 $6,782,120 $31,623,838 $0.265 $10,171 $8,375 $1,796 2027 $6,782,120 $65,034,422 $0.261 $18,723 $16,955 $1,768 2028 $6,782,120 $99,058,249 $0.257 $27,163 $25,422 $1,741 2029 $6,782,120 $134,952,720 $0.253 $35,807 $34,094 $1,713 2030 $6,782,120 $173,950,528 $0.249 $44,947 $43,260 $1,687 2031 $6,782,120 $215,044,425 $0.245 $54,306 $52,645 $1,660 2032 $6,782,120 $220,743,102 $0.241 $54,831 $53,197 $1,634 2033 $6,782,120 $226,592,795 $0.237 $55,363 $53,754 $1,609 2034 $6,782,120 $232,597,504 $0.234 $55,902 $54,318 $1,584 2035 $6,782,120 $238,761,338 $0.230 $56,446 $54,887 $1,559 2036 $6,782,120 $245,088,513 $0.226 $56,997 $55,462 $1,535 2037 $6,782,120 $251,583,359 $0.223 $57,554 $56,044 $1,511 2038 $6,782,120 $258,250,318 $0.219 $58,118 $56,631 $1,487 2039 $6,782,120 $265,093,951 $0.216 $58,689 $57,225 $1,464 2040 $6,782,120 $272,118,941 $0.212 $59,265 $57,824 $1,441 2041 $6,782,120 $279,330,093 $0.209 $59,849 $58,430 $1,419 2042 $6,782,120 $286,732,340 $0.206 $60,439 $59,043 $1,397 2043 $6,782,120 $294,330,747 $0.203 $61,036 $59,662 $1,375 2044 $6,782,120 $302,130,512 $0.200 $61,640 $60,287 $1,353 2045 $6,782,120 $310,136,970 $0.196 $62,251 $60,919 $1,332 2046 $6,782,120 $318,355,600 $0.193 $62,869 $61,557 $1,311 2047 $6,782,120 $326,792,024 $0.190 $63,493 $62,202 $1,291 2048 $6,782,120 $335,452,012 $0.187 $64,125 $62,854 $1,271 2049 $6,782,120 $344,341,491 $0.184 $64,764 $63,513 $1,251 2050 $6,782,120 $353,466,540 $0.182 $65,410 $64,179 $1,231 2051 $6,782,120 $362,833,403 $0.179 $66,063 $64,851 $1,212 2052 $6,782,120 $372,448,489 $0.176 $66,724 $65,531 $1,193 Grant County Library Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 31 of 74 21 Figure 15: Summary of TIA Contributions by Tax Jurisdiction – Baseline Scenario Hospital District Source: ECONorthwest calculations, 2023. Assessment Year Base Value Increment Value Levy Rate Total Property Tax Tax Allocated to TIF Tax Allocated to Hospital 2024 $6,782,120 $0 $0.501 $3,397 $0 $3,397 2025 $6,782,120 $0 $0.493 $3,344 $0 $3,344 2026 $6,782,120 $31,623,838 $0.485 $18,643 $15,351 $3,292 2027 $6,782,120 $65,034,422 $0.478 $34,317 $31,076 $3,241 2028 $6,782,120 $99,058,249 $0.470 $49,786 $46,596 $3,190 2029 $6,782,120 $134,952,720 $0.463 $65,630 $62,490 $3,140 2030 $6,782,120 $173,950,528 $0.456 $82,382 $79,290 $3,091 2031 $6,782,120 $215,044,425 $0.449 $99,535 $96,492 $3,043 2032 $6,782,120 $220,743,102 $0.442 $100,499 $97,504 $2,996 2033 $6,782,120 $226,592,795 $0.435 $101,474 $98,525 $2,949 2034 $6,782,120 $232,597,504 $0.428 $102,461 $99,558 $2,903 2035 $6,782,120 $238,761,338 $0.421 $103,459 $100,602 $2,858 2036 $6,782,120 $245,088,513 $0.415 $104,469 $101,656 $2,813 2037 $6,782,120 $251,583,359 $0.408 $105,490 $102,721 $2,769 2038 $6,782,120 $258,250,318 $0.402 $106,524 $103,798 $2,726 2039 $6,782,120 $265,093,951 $0.396 $107,569 $104,886 $2,683 2040 $6,782,120 $272,118,941 $0.389 $108,626 $105,985 $2,642 2041 $6,782,120 $279,330,093 $0.383 $109,696 $107,096 $2,600 2042 $6,782,120 $286,732,340 $0.377 $110,778 $108,218 $2,560 2043 $6,782,120 $294,330,747 $0.372 $111,872 $109,352 $2,520 2044 $6,782,120 $302,130,512 $0.366 $112,979 $110,498 $2,480 2045 $6,782,120 $310,136,970 $0.360 $114,098 $111,657 $2,442 2046 $6,782,120 $318,355,600 $0.354 $115,230 $112,827 $2,404 2047 $6,782,120 $326,792,024 $0.349 $116,375 $114,009 $2,366 2048 $6,782,120 $335,452,012 $0.343 $117,533 $115,204 $2,329 2049 $6,782,120 $344,341,491 $0.338 $118,704 $116,412 $2,293 2050 $6,782,120 $353,466,540 $0.333 $119,889 $117,632 $2,257 2051 $6,782,120 $362,833,403 $0.328 $121,086 $118,864 $2,222 2052 $6,782,120 $372,448,489 $0.322 $122,297 $120,110 $2,187 Hospital Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 32 of 74 22 26 Financing Plan/Duration of TIA The City anticipates issuing Limited Tax General Obligation (LTGO no-voted debt) tax-exempt bonds to pay for the TIF improvement projects in the amount not to exceed $14 million with a split debt issuance of $9 million in 2025 and up to $5 million in later years (prior to 2029) to allow the City to obtain any grant funds or specific legislative fund allocations to assist with the State round-about, thereby reducing the City’s debt and risk exposure. The City plans the LTGO bonds to be structured with a 20-year amortization and a 10-year par call. Additionally, the City is not currently expecting to capitalize interest during the first three years of the financing when TIF revenues alone are not expected to be sufficient to cover debt service. Instead, the City plans to pay any difference between debt service and TIF revenues from non-TIF revenues. The City will reimburse itself for any feasibility studies, including engineering design work to accurately project costs that occurred prior to the expected adoption of the Ordinance designating a TIA in May 2024. The City also plans to reimburse itself for any non-TIF revenue sources that are needed to meet the City’s debt service payments associated with the TIF Infrastructure. Debt Capacity The maximum limit for LTGO non-voted debt cannot exceed 1.5 percent of the value of taxable property within the City. Based on an assessed value of $2,967,270,315 in 2023, the City has $44,509,055 in total non-voted debt capacity and will have $43,056,903 after accounting for outstanding non-voted debt. As shown below, the City has sufficient capacity for the issuance of the proposed $14 million LTGO bonds related to the TIF public improvements and is expected to have approximately $29,056,903 in debt capacity available after the proposed issuance. Figure 16: Debt Capacity Table 2023 Assessed Valuation for 2023 Collections $ 2,967,270,315 Non-Voted Debt Capacity (1.5% of AV) $ 44,509,055 Less: Outstanding Non-Voted Debt $1,452,152 New Non-Voted Debt $43,056,903 Less: Financing Proposed $14,000,000 Projected Remaining Non-Voted Capacity $29,056,903 Source: EcoNorthwest, 2023 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 33 of 74 23 Debt Issuance and Debt Service Coverage It is expected that the City will issue initial debt of $9 million in 2025 to pay for the roads and utilities and will issue a second debt up to $5 million in later years to pay for the proposed State round-about. The delay of the second debt issuance is to allow the City the opportunity to obtain grants funds and/or a specific fund allocation from the State to pay for the State round- about. To estimate debt payments, a simple analysis uses a 5.0% true cost of debt over a 20- year term for the full $14 million with $9 million issued in 2025 and $5 million issued in 2029. It is assumed debt payments will start the year after the bond issuance and the debt table is shown below. Figure 17: Estimated Debt Schedule Source: ECONorthwest, 2023 Year Issue 1 Issue 2 Combined Debt 2024 2025 2026 $722,183 $722,183 2027 $722,183 $722,183 2028 $722,183 $722,183 2029 $722,183 $722,183 2030 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2031 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2032 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2033 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2034 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2035 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2036 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2037 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2038 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2039 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2040 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2041 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2042 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2043 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2044 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2045 $722,183 $401,213 $1,123,396 2046 $401,213 $401,213 2047 $401,213 $401,213 2048 $401,213 $401,213 2049 $401,213 $401,213 2050 Total P&I $14,443,666 $8,024,260 $22,467,926 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 34 of 74 24 The table below shows the nominal value of those TIF tax allocation dollars applicable to the Baseline development scenario (OG-DP’s development program) relative to the nominal payments of debt in the corresponding years (20-year term at 5% interest). The table gives a more accurate picture of how revenues might compare to debt payments, relative to only considering the present value. The Baseline development scenario will require some interim debt service support from the City until private development stabilizes and TIF revenue is able to support the full amount of the debt service. The City will also be able to pay itself back for any initial debt support from future TIF revenues that are generated in excess of its debt payments. Figure 18: TIF Debt Service Coverage Source: ECONorthwest calculations, 2023. Tax Year TIF Allocation Revenues TIF Debt Service Surplus (Shortfall) Cumulative Surplus (Shortfall) TIF Debt Service Coverage 2025 $0 $0 $0 $0 0.00 2026 $152,000 $722,183 -$570,183 -$570,183 0.21 2027 $308,000 $722,183 -$414,183 -$984,367 0.43 2028 $462,000 $722,183 -$260,183 -$1,244,550 0.64 2029 $620,000 $722,183 -$102,183 -$1,346,733 0.86 2030 $787,000 $1,123,396 -$336,396 -$1,683,129 0.70 2031 $958,000 $1,123,396 -$165,396 -$1,848,526 0.85 2032 $968,000 $1,123,396 -$155,396 -$2,003,922 0.86 2033 $978,000 $1,123,396 -$145,396 -$2,149,318 0.87 2034 $988,000 $1,123,396 -$135,396 -$2,284,715 0.88 2035 $998,000 $1,123,396 -$125,396 -$2,410,111 0.89 2036 $1,009,000 $1,123,396 -$114,396 -$2,524,507 0.90 2037 $1,019,000 $1,123,396 -$104,396 -$2,628,903 0.91 2038 $1,030,000 $1,123,396 -$93,396 -$2,722,300 0.92 2039 $1,041,000 $1,123,396 -$82,396 -$2,804,696 0.93 2040 $1,052,000 $1,123,396 -$71,396 -$2,876,092 0.94 2041 $1,063,000 $1,123,396 -$60,396 -$2,936,489 0.95 2042 $1,074,000 $1,123,396 -$49,396 -$2,985,885 0.96 2043 $1,085,000 $1,123,396 -$38,396 -$3,024,281 0.97 2044 $1,097,000 $1,123,396 -$26,396 -$3,050,677 0.98 2045 $1,108,000 $1,123,396 -$15,396 -$3,066,074 0.99 2046 $1,120,000 $401,213 $718,787 -$2,347,287 2.79 2047 $1,131,000 $401,213 $729,787 -$1,617,500 0.99 2048 $1,143,000 $401,213 $741,787 -$875,713 2.85 2049 $1,155,000 $401,213 $753,787 -$121,926 2.88 2050 $1,167,000 $0 $1,167,000 $1,045,074 0.00 Baseline Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 35 of 74 25 Using the Baseline development assumptions, the TIA will generate $23.5 million in TIF allocation revenues. This must be balanced against P&I payments of $22.5 million during the same time. The TIF cash flows do not provide ample coverage in many years and will run annual deficits for 20 years leading to cumulative deficit that peaks at $3.1 in 2045. If the City were to have to “borrow” from other funds to make up these deficits and pay it back from subsequent years when allocations are larger, it would not be able to payback those borrowed funds until 2036. As indicated above, the OG-DP will financial backstop any gaps up to $10 million between TIF revenues and the City’s debt service. Ultimately, the TIF balance sheet is $1.0 million cash positive in 2050 when the debt is retired. Additionally, the City also has other revenues or options as identified in the Risk Assessment Mitigation Plan sections below. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 36 of 74 26 1 22 Jobs Analysis The job analysis considers two sources of employment tied to the TIA. First, the construction of private development will create jobs in the construction industry. These jobs will occur during the construction and are therefore “one-time” events. Once the buildings are constructed, commercial-oriented buildings will be used to for commercial purposes. These jobs are “ongoing”, meaning they are permanent on the condition of occupation within the TIA. The following sections summarize these job estimates, and the methods used to derive them. Construction Employment Construction of the development over the anticipated build-out period would create temporary construction jobs within the region and state. The jobs estimated in the figure below are derived by using the 2023 value of construction investment for the Baseline development scenario and interpolating them into the Washington State Office of Financial Management’s Input/Output model. The model relates spending in an industry sector to the number of jobs directly supported by that same investment. While the model estimates the number of jobs generated in the state of Washington, it is likely that most of these workers would come from the immediate region. The region is rapidly growing in population, such that many of the jobs created would be additive to existing jobs within the region. Ultimately, the income earned by workers would bring additional spending to the City that would not have otherwise occurred. ECONorthwest estimated the total number of construction jobs based on the spending by the Baseline development scenario. The number of jobs at any given time would vary depending on the timing and scale of development. As expected, the scale of the investment in the Baseline development scenario produces the largest amount of construction jobs, in this case, 630 construction jobs. Figure 19: Construction Jobs Source: ECONorthwest calculations and Office of Financial Management Input/Output Model, 2022. Ongoing Employment Based on the types of uses and square feet of building area, ECONorthwest estimated the potential number of jobs the development would support when built. These numbers are derived from ratio estimate building area to number of employees. The U.S. Energy Information Administration releases data from the 2018 Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS) that provides building characteristics information for commercial buildings in 2018 in the U.S. (the latest year of data). The data contain the average building square foot per worker by building use. Using the amount of planned development square footage by building use at full buildout of the scenarios, these ratios can be applied (less a vacancy rate of 5%) to estimate Baseline Lower Absorption Construction Jobs 630 480 Investment (millions)$176 $132 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 37 of 74 27 the number of ongoing jobs. The Baseline development scenario, by measure of having more commercial space than either of the other scenarios has the largest number of ongoing jobs at 480. Figure 20: Ongoing Jobs Source: 2018 CBECS, Table B1. Summary table: total and means of floorspace, number of workers, and hours of operation, 2018 (Release date: September 2021) Employment Uses Baseline Lower Absorption Office 150 110 Retail and Food & Beverage 290 220 Services 40 30 Total Jobs 480 360 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 38 of 74 28 25 Impact Assessment and Mitigation Affordable Housing No residential housing will be displaced from the envisioned development. It is expected that as additional housing is built, demand is lowered, and housing costs are reduced over the long- term and become more affordable. The increased number of housing units from this development will help house the growing population base, meeting the demand with supply. Without additional housing in Moses Lake and Grant County, affordability will only become increasingly challenging. Additionally, the City’s Multifamily Tax Exemption program allows for 8-year property tax exemption at market rate or 12-year if the project includes a minimum of 20% of the multifamily housing units are income restricted to household who adjusted income is at or below 115 percent of the Area Median Income (AMI). Local Business Community In addition to the new residents, 480 ongoing jobs will be introduced with the Baseline development scenario. Likewise, 630 construction jobs will be introduced based on private investment $176 million for the Baseline development scenario. These new jobs supported by significant private investment will benefit other businesses in the City as well as the surrounding jurisdictions. Local School District The Moses Lake School District’s property tax levies (enrichment, capital, and bond) are excluded from the TIF under the law. The increased assessed values generated in the TIA will operate to lower the rate per thousand of assessed value of levies imposed by the district. School district Enrichment and Capital Levies are excess levies, and the districts periodically ask voters to maintain existing levels of purchasing power via voted ballots. Bond levies ask voters to approve bonds to expand or improve their facilities and to approve excess property tax levies as necessary to pay debt service on the bonds. The effect of growth in the tax base coming from TIF will have two implications. First, it increases the tax base of the district, meaning that lower overall tax rates (per thousand of AV) are needed to fund a similar level of service. Second, it increases the proportion of the tax base that is commercial which leverages the relative voting power of residential households to support school expenditures backed by these excess levies (voter approved or otherwise). As part of the City’s regulatory review process, it will evaluate and apply mitigation measures to the Desert Point Development based on identified impacts to surrounding schools. Local Fire Service State law requires a mitigation plan if the TIA will impact at least 20 percent of the assessed value of an impacted fire district. Local fire service is provided by the City of Moses Lake and therefore there is no impact to another taxing district. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 39 of 74 29 29 29 25 27 Outreach to Impacted Taxing Districts While Washington State law requires formal notice to be provided to each impacted taxing districts upon approval of the Tax Increment Area (TIA), the City plans to engage the Grant County Commissioners, Treasurer and Assessor prior to any TIA adoption. This early outreach will allow the City to collect feedback focused on the logistics of implementing TIF. The taxing districts whose property tax levy would be directly impacted by TIF include: • The City of Moses Lake • Grant County • Port of Moses Lake • Regional Library District • Hospital District The levy rate from each of these jurisdictions will be applied to the increased assessed valuation within the TIA and remitted to the City to pay the bonds associated with constructing the public infrastructure to support the anticipated private development. Alternatively, if TIF revenues exceed the amount necessary to pay the bonds then excess revenues will be distributed to these taxing districts. The City will provide the formal notice regarding the proposed TIA to the various taxing districts in accordance with State law. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 40 of 74 30 9 TIF “But-For” Requirement Washington State’s TIF law requires its local government sponsor to make the following findings: I) The public improvements proposed to be paid or financed with tax allocation revenues are expected to encourage private development within the increment area and to increase the assessed value of real property within the increment area; II) Private development that is anticipated to occur within the increment area as a result of the proposed public improvements will be permitted consistent with the permitting jurisdiction's applicable zoning and development standards; III) The private development would not reasonably be expected to occur solely through private investment within the reasonably foreseeable future without the proposed public improvements; and; IV) The increased assessed value within the increment area that could reasonably be expected to occur without the proposed public improvements would be less than the increase in the assessed value estimated to result from the proposed development with the proposed public improvements. These findings (specifically sections i, ii, and iv) are commonly referred to as the “But-For- Requirement”. The name comes from the assertion that private development would not occur but-for provision of the public improvements through the use of TIF. This requirement is a foundational element of TIF which directs public tax dollars generated by the development to only those public improvement projects necessary to support the proposed development. Although TIF is new to Washington State governments, the But-For-Requirement and associated analysis is not. Many local governments that have invested in infrastructure as part of economic development projects have examined the public agency’s return on its infrastructure investment from the generation of on-going tax revenues associated with new development. Additionally, for most local governments, infrastructure demand exceeds revenue capacity, forcing local governments to make priority decisions regarding infrastructure projects that get funded with tax dollars and determining which projects can be paid for by developers. The But-For-Requirement for TIF formalizes the analysis and requires the local government sponsoring TIF to provide convincing evidence showing that tax dollars from the TIA are reasonably necessary to make the development possible. If proposed development would occur without TIF, public tax dollars should not be used because it will cost taxpayers more than it should for the resulting development or growth. However, if TIF is used to encourage a development that would not otherwise be reasonably expected to happen, the tax base can be increased. A larger tax base helps pay for needed services and can control the growth of new taxes. The But- For-Requirement is critical as a means to determining the proper use for public tax dollars. If the cost of the proposed TIF infrastructure below (estimated at $14 million) were required to be funded by private developers it would likely mean that only the most profitable developments could be built, reducing the size and scale of the proposed private development. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 41 of 74 31 Additionally, City staff discussions with current and formers owners of the TIA property reveal that it would be unlikely for any development to occur without financial assistance for the proposed infrastructure. Expected Development Without TIF Improvements The City studied the expected development within the TIA and believes it would be unlikely that any development would be viable without TIF. For purposes of this analysis, we have taken a far more conservative approach by estimating that without TIF, only 50% of the proposed development would occur significantly impacting most of the commercial activities on the site and take a five years longer time to develop. The figure below compares the amount of assessed valuation growth anticipated in the area with TIF and without TIF. The figure below compares the amount of assessed valuation growth in both conditions. Figure 21: Comparison of Assessed Value Growth Between TIF Baseline Scenario and No TIF Source: ECONorthwest calculations, 2023 Summary of “But-For-Requirement” Based on the above analysis the proposed private development could not be reasonably expected to occur without the identified TIF infrastructure improvements. Additionally, the assessed values from projected private development within the TIA would be less than the increase in assessed values from private development with the TIF improvements. Assessment Year 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Baseline $31,623,838 $215,044,425 $245,088,513 $279,330,093 $318,355,600 $353,466,540 No TiF $0 $18,330,000 $124,648,000 $142,062,000 $161,910,000 $179,767,000 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 42 of 74 32 28 Additional Incremental Taxes The City’s LTGO bonds will be backed the City’s full faith and credit, meaning bondholders can make a legal claim against the general revenue of the City if a default occurs. However, the City can use any unrestricted revenue sources it has available to satisfy its debt obligations. Washington state tax policy has conditions that allow governments that grow their tax bases to collect additional revenues. This relationship creates a mutually reinforcing benefit of housing and commercial development with additional tax revenues. New land development represents a direct financial investment in land preparation and building structures. Those structures, occupied by residential neighborhoods and businesses, increase the lands' productive economic capacity. That economic value generates taxable bases at the land, business operation, and transaction levels, represented in land value, retail sales, business income, etc. State tax policy allows government jurisdictions to tax these bases (subject to rate, annual increase and other limitations) to fund needed public services and infrastructure. Outside of the TIF property tax, the development and occupation of buildings in the TIA will also generate other incremental taxes which are differentiated into the three categories below: • One-time Revenues. These revenues are tied to construction. Specifically, they include the retail sales tax on construction (materials and labor), which is taxable under Washington state law. • Recurring Revenues. These revenues are derived from the occupation of structures by residents and businesses. Specific revenues include retail sales tax, and utility taxes. • Capital Restricted Revenues. These revenues are restricted to capital and include real estate excise taxes and hotel/motel taxes. City of Moses Lake The City of Moses Lake is the local service provider for police, fire, public works, community development, parks, and other local services. To support these services, the City collects a range of general and restricted taxes, these include the following. Sales & Use Taxes Sales Tax. Of the 8.4% sales tax currently collected in the City on general retail purchases, a 1% "local" share of the tax accrues to local jurisdictions. The City receives 85% of the 1% local tax and Grant County gets 15%. This tax is levied on businesses in the area, and on construction activity and some transactions related to housing and business, such as certain online purchases and the delivery of personal and commercial goods. The current rate accruing to the City for the local option is 0.85%. The incremental growth of this revenue is based on pro-rata population growth in the TIF development. The City also receives a population pro rata share of 90% of the city allocation of Grant County’s 0.1% criminal justice sales tax. The increase in the criminal justice tax is modeled on net increases in population due to development. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 43 of 74 33 The sales tax relies on estimates of new construction value and consumer taxable retail sales spending. These assumptions are driven by valuation and use assumptions in the development program detailed below. Utility Taxes The City imposes utility taxes on gross purchases of electricity, water, wastewater, solid waste, telephones, cable, and natural gas. Current tax rates are used for this analysis. A generalized utility expenditure productivity factor (on a per person and employee basis) was used to generate estimates of utility purchases with the follow utility tax rates. • Water: 10% • Wastewater: 10% • Electric: 6% • Natural Gas: 6% • Solid Waste: 10% • Surface Water: 10% • Cable/Internet: 3% • Telephone/Mobile: 8% State Shared Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax & Liquor Board/Taxes Local governments receive a gas tax distribution unrestricted for street purposes from the State. The distribution is determined using a formula that is heavily weighted towards population. ECONorthwest used a proxy of this formula to derive these revenues to the City. Cities also receive pro rata payments from Liquor Excise Tax & Liquor Board Profits. Real Estate Excise Tax (REET) Real estate transactions are subject to a 0.5% on the value of the transaction. REET revenues are placed in the capital restricted funds to finance capital projects. REET revenues are uncertain given volatility in the real estate market. Since REET is based on the total value of real estate transactions each year, the amount of REET revenues the City receives can vary substantially from year to year based on the normal fluctuations in the real estate market. During years when the real estate market is active, revenues are higher, and during softer real estate markets, revenues are lower. For the purposes of this analysis, it is assumed that all new completed projects would be sold and then 7.4 percent of all property value would turn over (re-sold) in any given year (this ratio in the historical average of REET sales to total assessed value in the City in 2022). Hotel/Motel Taxes The City imposes a 2% tax on all charges for furnishing lodging at hotels, motels, and similar establishments. This tax is taken as a credit against the 6.5% state sales tax. The City also levies a local option 2% tax in accordance with RCW 67.28.181, which brings the total effective rate to 4% of the lodging charges. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 44 of 74 34 30 31 30 30 Transportation Benefit District The City created a Transportation Benefit District that uses a sales and use tax up to 0.2% requires voter approval. The sales and use tax may not be imposed for longer than 10 years at a time, except to repay debt, and must be approved by a simple majority of voters. This analysis assumes the TBD sales tax is reauthorized. Tax Base Productivity Assumptions It is assumed that each housing unit will house on average 1.8 persons and that the development will be 90% occupied (to account for times when homes sit vacant). Construction costs represent the average per square foot cost for different building types based on recent construction comparable projects (note: these costs are different from what a project is assessed at for property tax purposes). The below costs are subject to retail sales taxes on construction activity: • Retail: $130 per square foot • Multi-family Unit: $160,000 per unit • Hotel: $100,000 per unit • Office: $130 per square foot On-ongoing taxable retail sales are based on assumed comparable businesses: • Retail: $350 per square foot • Multi-family Unit: $2,500 per unit • Hotel: $130 per square foot • Office: $5 per square foot Summary of Additional Tax Results Based on the approximate timing of the new development the Baseline development scenario is estimated to generate approximately $33.7 million in additional tax revenues generated from the private development for the City (Figure 22). The Lower Absorption Scenario generates respectively less at $21.4 million (Figure 23). These figures represent a 25-year cash flow of incremental tax revenues to the City in 2023 dollars (e.g., all future tax revenues have been discounted at 5% back to 2023 values). Nominal values are also shown since this is ultimately the amount that the City can draw upon to service principal and interest (5%) on its debt payments. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 45 of 74 35 Figure 22: Summary of additional tax benefits Baseline Scenario Source: ECONorthwest calculation, 2023. Figure 23: Summary of additional tax benefits Lower Absorption Scenario Source: ECONorthwest calculation, 2023. Present Value Nominal Value Property Taxes Sales Tax on Construction $1,150,000 $1,370,000 Ongoing Sales Tax $19,690,000 $41,710,000 Utility Taxes $680,000 $1,350,000 REET $850,000 $1,180,000 Hotel/Motel $6,360,000 $12,610,000 Transportation Benefit District $4,920,000 $10,157,000 Total Incremental Revenues $33,650,000 $68,377,000 TIA Allocation Revenue Present Value Nominal Value Property Taxes Sales Tax on Construction $820,000 $1,130,000 Ongoing Sales Tax $12,430,000 $28,240,000 Utility Taxes $450,000 $970,000 REET $540,000 $840,000 Hotel/Motel $4,090,000 $8,700,000 Transportation Benefit District $3,120,000 $6,915,000 Total Incremental Revenues $21,450,000 $46,795,000 TIA Allocation Revenue Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 46 of 74 36 30 32 Risk Assessment and Mitigation Plan As stated in the summary and introduction above, TIF is a powerful tool available to local governments for encouraging development. Using local property tax revenues to finance certain public improvements can encourage and generate the desired or envisioned private development; however, using TIF has risks. The largest risks are that: 1) the expected private development does not occur; occurs slower than expected; and/or, the type of private vertical (office, retail, housing) development and its magnitude is less than expected; and 2) the cost projected for the public improvements is higher than projected. These risks impact the expected revenues to be generated within the TIA or the costs for the public infrastructure improvements. If revenue is not as expected, a local government must then use other sources of revenue to pay for the public improvements. The City will be obligated to pay for the TIF infrastructure even if little or no private development materializes. As stated previously in this report, the City anticipates issuing LTGO bonds which will be backed by the City’s full faith and credit, meaning bondholders can make a legal claim against the general revenue of the City if a default occurs. The City should have a mitigation plan to address a shortfall in revenue or overrun of infrastructure improvement costs. Other related risks include over-investment of infrastructure funding by TIF, which can waste limited tax dollars for other uses. Local governments can guard against and potentially avoid the over-investing and under-investing by carefully evaluating the local market conditions and performing the analysis associated with the But-For-Requirement identified in this report. When TIF is used correctly, the growth and development pay for the infrastructure investments that encouraged it. For purposes of this Project Analysis, the City has identified the Baseline development scenario as the most likely development scenario. Based on this scenario, the TIA is projected to generate approximately $23.5 million in tax allocation revenues over a 25-year TIF period (2024-2049). This value exceeds the projected public improvement cost of $14 million ($22.5 million in principal and interest). Private Development Risk Mitigation As referenced above, the OG-DP has agreed to be responsible for all of the debt issued by the City up to $10 million not covered by TIF revenues. The parties plan to develop a process for when invoices are generated by the City to the OG-DP based on revenue gaps to pay the City’s debt service, along with a reconciliation process to proportionately payback OG-DP if additional TIF revenue are generated in later years from private development. Additionally, both the City and the OG-DP have agreed in concept that the OG-DP will be responsible for constructing the public improvements on the site (excluding the State round- about, subject to the City’s design standards and applicable State law. Upon conveyance and acceptance of the public improvements by the City, the City will pay OG-DP the amount for said work up to $10 million. The City anticipates managing the construction process for the State round-about. By having the OG-DP responsible for the construction of the public improvements, further reduces the City’s financial risk caused by construction change orders. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 47 of 74 37 The City and the OG-DP plan to memorialize the above concepts as part of a future binding agreement between the parties. The City will need to fill the financial gap (e.g., the difference between TIF allocation revenues and debt payments) projected to occur for 20 years for a total gap of $3.1 million in the Baseline development scenario with other sources of revenue that are identified below. This amount can then be repaid from increased TIF revenues after the proposed private development stabilizes in later years or from additional local taxes coming from the development. Notwithstanding these projections, the City has prepared the mitigation plan below to respond to possible development and financial risks. Figure 24: Summary of Baseline TIF Allocations & Debt Service Source: ECONorthwest, 2023 Tax Year TIF Allocation Revenues TIF Debt Service Surplus (Shortfall) Cumulative Surplus (Shortfall) TIF Debt Service Coverage 2025 $0 $0 $0 $0 0.00 2026 $152,000 $722,183 -$570,183 -$570,183 0.21 2027 $308,000 $722,183 -$414,183 -$984,367 0.43 2028 $462,000 $722,183 -$260,183 -$1,244,550 0.64 2029 $620,000 $722,183 -$102,183 -$1,346,733 0.86 2030 $787,000 $1,123,396 -$336,396 -$1,683,129 0.70 2031 $958,000 $1,123,396 -$165,396 -$1,848,526 0.85 2032 $968,000 $1,123,396 -$155,396 -$2,003,922 0.86 2033 $978,000 $1,123,396 -$145,396 -$2,149,318 0.87 2034 $988,000 $1,123,396 -$135,396 -$2,284,715 0.88 2035 $998,000 $1,123,396 -$125,396 -$2,410,111 0.89 2036 $1,009,000 $1,123,396 -$114,396 -$2,524,507 0.90 2037 $1,019,000 $1,123,396 -$104,396 -$2,628,903 0.91 2038 $1,030,000 $1,123,396 -$93,396 -$2,722,300 0.92 2039 $1,041,000 $1,123,396 -$82,396 -$2,804,696 0.93 2040 $1,052,000 $1,123,396 -$71,396 -$2,876,092 0.94 2041 $1,063,000 $1,123,396 -$60,396 -$2,936,489 0.95 2042 $1,074,000 $1,123,396 -$49,396 -$2,985,885 0.96 2043 $1,085,000 $1,123,396 -$38,396 -$3,024,281 0.97 2044 $1,097,000 $1,123,396 -$26,396 -$3,050,677 0.98 2045 $1,108,000 $1,123,396 -$15,396 -$3,066,074 0.99 2046 $1,120,000 $401,213 $718,787 -$2,347,287 2.79 2047 $1,131,000 $401,213 $729,787 -$1,617,500 0.99 2048 $1,143,000 $401,213 $741,787 -$875,713 2.85 2049 $1,155,000 $401,213 $753,787 -$121,926 2.88 2050 $1,167,000 $0 $1,167,000 $1,045,074 0.00 Baseline Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 48 of 74 38 35 City Financial Mitigation The following mitigation plan is proposed to provide multiple levels of financial protection to fill any financial gaps that occur in the early years of the TIA until private development and TIF revenues stabilize or should the expected private development occur slower than planned. Level 1: Debt Issuance Timing/Grants/Private Development Financial Backstop. As identified above, the City plans to reduce its financial exposure related to the timing and scope of private development by: 1) Entering into an agreement with OG-DP in which they will be responsible for any debt not covered by TIF revenues up to $10 million; 2) Pursuing State grants or funding to eliminate or reduce the second debt issuance up to $5 million for the State round-about. The City plans to issue $9 million in debt in 2025 (funding for roads and utilities) and second debt issuance up to $5 million (for the State round-about) may occur no later than 2029, providing for greater development and TIA revenue certainty. The City may also make additional adjustments in the timing of the initial debt issuance based on development activity, the nexus between the identified infrastructure improvements and the proposed private development providing for greater development and tax revenue certainty to help pay the debt service associated with TIF infrastructure improvements. Alternatively, debt could be structured to proportionally match the expected tax allocation revenues with a longer interest only payment or more back-loaded payments by capitalizing the interest. The tradeoff with both of these measures is that more interest will be paid on the bonds. Level 2: Additional Taxes from Moderate Development Scenario: Based on the Baseline development scenario, it is projected the City will receive a nominal value of $68.5 million in additional tax revenues generated by the proposed development. A portion of these incremental additional taxes can be used to support any infrastructure debt service gap in TIF revenues. Netting out tax revenues restricted to specific uses (and not available to service debt such as criminal justice sales taxes) and holding 50% to cover potential increases in public service operating costs, additional revenues that may service debt is shown below. Applying these additional tax revenues (assumed to be 50% of the total) to this Baseline development scenario, the number of years of deficit drops from 20 to one year and the amount of deficit decreases from $3.1 million to only one year with shortfall of $54,000. The remaining years are positive surpluses. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 49 of 74 39 Figure 25: Comparison of Debt Payment Surplus/Deficits and Other Additional Taxes Source: ECONorthwest Calculations, 2023 Level 3: General Fund Reserves & Re-Prioritization of Existing Capital Projects. Over the last 6 years (2018 to 2023), the City has averaged approximately $3.5 million in available General Fund reserves not allocated to any specific operating or capital expense. These unallocated funds can pay the debt service for infrastructure improvements if property tax revenue from the TIA is insufficient. Additionally, the City may reprioritize some capital project expenditures to respond to any gaps between TIF revenues and debt payments. Year TIF Allocation Revenues Incremental Taxes TIF Debt Service Surplus (Shortfall) Cumulative Surplus (Shortfall) TIF Debt Service Coverage 2025 $0 $215,500 $0 $215,500 $215,500 0.00 2026 $152,000 $516,000 $722,183 -$54,183 $161,317 0.71 2027 $308,000 $662,000 $722,183 $247,817 $409,133 0.92 2028 $462,000 $825,500 $722,183 $565,317 $974,450 1.14 2029 $620,000 $997,000 $722,183 $894,817 $1,869,267 1.38 2030 $787,000 $1,172,000 $1,123,396 $835,604 $2,704,871 1.04 2031 $958,000 $1,193,000 $1,123,396 $1,027,604 $3,732,474 1.06 2032 $968,000 $1,148,000 $1,123,396 $992,604 $4,725,078 1.02 2033 $978,000 $1,178,500 $1,123,396 $1,033,104 $5,758,182 1.05 2034 $988,000 $1,213,500 $1,123,396 $1,078,104 $6,836,285 1.08 2035 $998,000 $1,249,000 $1,123,396 $1,123,604 $7,959,889 1.11 2036 $1,009,000 $1,285,000 $1,123,396 $1,170,604 $9,130,493 1.14 2037 $1,019,000 $1,320,500 $1,123,396 $1,216,104 $10,346,597 1.18 2038 $1,030,000 $1,361,500 $1,123,396 $1,268,104 $11,614,700 1.21 2039 $1,041,000 $1,403,000 $1,123,396 $1,320,604 $12,935,304 1.25 2040 $1,052,000 $1,444,500 $1,123,396 $1,373,104 $14,308,408 1.29 2041 $1,063,000 $1,486,000 $1,123,396 $1,425,604 $15,734,011 1.32 2042 $1,074,000 $1,527,500 $1,123,396 $1,478,104 $17,212,115 1.36 2043 $1,085,000 $1,569,500 $1,123,396 $1,531,104 $18,743,219 1.40 2044 $1,097,000 $1,622,000 $1,123,396 $1,595,604 $20,338,823 1.44 2045 $1,108,000 $1,674,000 $1,123,396 $1,658,604 $21,997,426 1.49 2046 $1,120,000 $1,722,000 $401,213 $2,440,787 $24,438,213 4.29 2047 $1,131,000 $1,774,500 $401,213 $2,504,287 $26,942,500 0.99 2048 $1,143,000 $1,823,000 $401,213 $2,564,787 $29,507,287 4.54 2049 $1,155,000 $1,876,000 $401,213 $2,629,787 $32,137,074 4.68 2050 $1,167,000 $1,929,500 $0 $3,096,500 $35,233,574 0.00 Baseline with Taxes Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 50 of 74 40 1 Additional Mitigation Measures Public Improvement Cost Containment Additionally, both the City and the OG-DP have agreed in concept that the OG-DP will be responsible for constructing the public improvements (excluding the State round-about), subject to the City’s design standards and applicable State law. Upon conveyance and acceptance of the public improvements by the City, the City will pay OG-DP the amount for said work up to $10 million. By having the OG-DP responsible for the construction of the public improvements, further reduces the City’s financial risk caused by construction change orders. There are other risks that a municipal government faces regularly such as: construction delays, which increase costs for public infrastructure improvements; economic slowdown or recession; higher borrowing costs then even accounted for in the Project Analysis; and lower levy rates within the TIA than anticipated. The City has been successful in addressing these secondary type risks by using conservative estimates and adherence to prudent fiscal and construction management policies. The City will continue these same practices as it implements the proposed TIA and the associated infrastructure improvements. Financial Mitigation Summary The City has multiple levels of mitigation identified above to satisfy its debt obligations if development does not occur as expected in accordance with the Baseline development scenario. Key to mitigating its risks include: 1) the future agreement between the City and the OG-DP to financial backstop up to $10 million for any annual gaps in revenue between the City debt service and TIF revenues; and 2) Seeking “outside” funding for the State round-about prior to the issuance of any debt. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 51 of 74 41 36 Moses Lake TIF Team City of Moses Lake Staff • Kevin Fuhr, City Manager • Madeline Prentice, Finance Director • Katherine Kenison, City Attorney • Kirsten Peterson, Community Development Director • Brian Baltzell, Public Works Director Legal and Financial Consultants • Cynthia Weed, Bond Counsel, K&L Gates – Partner • Jim Nelson, Financial Advisor, D.A. Davidson Tax Increment Financing Consultants • Bob Stowe, Stowe Development & Strategies (TIF Project Manager) • Morgan Shook, ECONorthwest Future TIF Actions There are a number of actions that will occur before the Moses Lake City Council formally considers the formation of a TIA within the City. First, is to receive and review feedback offered by the Office of the State Treasurer related to this Project Analysis. Second, based on any feedback, the TIF team will evaluate and make appropriate adjustments to its proposed TIF program. Third, is to conduct two separate public briefings on the proposed TIA and provide formal notice in the local newspaper. The City will also engage its local partners and taxing districts as the TIA advances. There are also a number of planning, engineering, finance, and legal activities that will occur to advance the proposed public improvements and private development for the Desert Point Project. Below is an expected schedule for the future TIF actions. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 52 of 74 42 Remaining TIF Schedule Figure 26: Remaining Schedule Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 53 of 74 43 Findings | Bottom Line The envisioned Desert Point Development within the TIA would not be viable without the City’s intervention to provide the identified public improvements. The City has demonstrated a strong nexus between the proposed development and the proposed public improvements. The City is conservatively estimating the potential revenues generated by the formation of a TIA and has available resources to pay for infrastructure debt service should the expected TIA revenues not materialize. There are no negative impacts to affordable housing, the local business community, the local school district, and the local fire districts. The Desert Point Development will provide for jobs and investment into the local and regional economy. Based on all of the above findings and information contained in this Project Analysis, the Desert Point Development and its proposed TIA meets both the spirit and the letter of Washington’s State’s TIF law. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 54 of 74 44 APPENDICES • State Audit Report Summary • Consultant Team Bios Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 55 of 74 45 State Audit Report Summary Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 56 of 74 46 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 57 of 74 47 Consultant Team Bios Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 58 of 74 Bob Stowe - Principal Bob Stowe is the principal and founder of Stowe Development & Strategies — a company he formed in 2016 to help public sector clients succeed with their economic and community development interests. With 34 years of experience in progressive community transformations, Bob is one of the Northwest’s most innovative and entrepreneurial real estate and community developers. He uses sound long- range fiscal planning skills and has achieved enviable results in leading redevelopment efforts from the dream stage to construction. This is true for projects large and small, straightforward and complex. Bob’s understanding and experience with tax increment financing, master plan development, transit oriented development, placemaking, negotiation of purchase and sale agreements, development agreements, public benefit agreements, and his ability to create public private partnerships make him an ideal public sector development partner. Bob has been responsible for leading, managing, coordinating, and implementing a wide variety of complex and multi-faceted projects including, downtown revitalization plans, civic center plans and development, master plans, public-private partnerships, and transit-oriented developments to name a few. Bob was the City Manager for the City of Bothell, Washington from 2005 to 2016 where he was the architect and leader of Washington’s largest and most successful publicly-led downtown revitalization. Under Bob’s leadership, this project utilized a Local Infrastructure Financing Tool award (AKA TIF light) as part of the funding package that stimulated private investment of over $300 million; a very big step in achieving the City’s 25-year goal of $650 million. The fact that nearly half that goal was reached in just a few years, during the Great Recession, and with leverage from public/private collaboration, made it all the more remarkable. Bob guided the development of approximately $150 million in public sector improvements (relocation of a state highway, creation of new streets, storm water system, parks, environmental clean-up, etc.) identified as necessary to achieve the revitalization vision. The massive public development plan and schedule also needed to align with private sector purchase of surplus land from the City, environmental remediation, public streets to be developed by the private sector, and on-site mixed-use development. Precise scheduling, communication and the ability to respond to changing conditions were skills that Bob successfully delivered on this project. Before arriving in Bothell, Bob was the City Manager for the City of Mill Creek for nine years and helped lead development of the award-winning Mill Creek Town Center in the early 2000s. His first downtown transformation project began with the revitalization of Downtown Dayton, Washington in the late 1980s. The hallmark of Bob’s effort is his commitment to create well designed and environmentally sustainable places where people want to live, work, and come together to celebrate. Bob has tackled the most difficult and complex projects, achieving the redevelopment and economic dreams of several communities with his failure is not an option approach. EDUCATION • MBA, Albers School of Business & Economics, Seattle University (with honors). • BA, Urban and Regional Planning, Eastern Washington University. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 59 of 74 Morgan Shook - Director/Partner Morgan Shook is a Senior Policy and Economic Analyst working in real estate, land use, and transportation economics, and finance. He has deep expertise in economic, market and financial analytics that he brought to bear in business, enterprise, and policy settings. Morgan has worked for a range of government, business, and non- profit clients to advance their missions that in diverse set areas and topics. Morgan has worked on every form of tax increment financing in Washington including Community Revitalization Financing, Local Infrastructure Financing Tool, Local Revitalization Financing LRF, Landscape Conservation and Local Infrastructure Program, as well as the recently passed Tax Increment Financing bill in the 2021 legislative session. Before joining ECONorthwest, Morgan worked in biotechnology development at the Institute for Systems Biology, and health disparities research at the University of Chicago. Morgan recently served on the Seattle Planning Commission. EDUCATION • M.U.R.P., Portland State University • B.S. Molecular Biology, University of Puget Sound • Certificate in Commercial Real Estate Development, University of Washington Extension Areas of Expertise • Economic Development • Affordable Housing • Land Use Planning • Market & Feasibility Analysis • Infrastructure & Finance Funding • Transit-Oriented Development Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 60 of 74 48 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 61 of 74 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov Tax Increment Financing Project Analysis Review — City of Moses Lake — May 6, 2024 Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 62 of 74 Page 1 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov May 6, 2024 Kevin Fuhr, City Manager City of Moses Lake 401 S. Balsam St, PO Box 1579 Moses Lake, WA 98837 Dear Mr. Fuhr: This letter confirms the Office of the State Treasurer’s (“OST”) receipt and review of the City of Moses Lake’s (the “City”) tax increment financing (“TIF”) project analysis, consisting of the project analysis report dated February 9, 2024. OST and Montague DeRose and Associates, the state’s municipal advisor, have reviewed the provided materials. Based on our review, which is detailed in the sections to follow, we believe that the City’s project analysis generally addresses the topics listed in section 020(2) of RCW 39.114 (the “TIF Statute”). However, please see our recommendations provided at the end of this letter. Please note that this review is based on the information, projections, and assumptions provided by the City and its consultants in the project analysis. OST has not independently verified the data or its accuracy or performed any feasibility analyses or projections of its own. Executive Summary The City’s proposed tax increment area (“TIA”), consisting of 96 acres with a total assessed value of $6.8 million, was selected because it represents a planned development (“Desert Point”) that can be built over time, as the result of the infrastructure improvements funded by TIF. The public improvements described in the project analysis total $14.0 million and include roads and utilities (estimated to cost $9.0 million) and a round-about (estimated to cost $5.0 million) connecting the TIA to Highway 17. The project analysis did not provide a detailed expenditure plan for the public improvements; however, the City expects to issue the first series of bonds in 2025 to finance the $9.0 million needed for the roads and utilities, followed by a second bond series of $5.0 million by 2029 for the round-about. The City may not proceed with the second bond issuance in the event that a state grant or legislative allocation is received for the round-about. The baseline development scenario’s projections show that for the two series of bonds, annual deficits between tax increment revenues and debt service will average $153,000 over the first 20 years of repayment, resulting in an accumulated deficit of $3.1 million by 2045. Tax increment revenues are forecast to exceed debt service annually from 2046-2050 which will allow the City’s $3.1 million deficit to be repaid, while also generating a $1.0 million surplus. If the City receives a state grant for the round-about project and only issues the first $9.0 million series of bonds , annual deficits between tax increment revenues and debt service are projected to average $337,000 over the first four years of repayment, resulting in an accumulated deficit of $1.3 million by 2029. Tax increment revenues are forecast to exceed debt service annually from 2030-2050 such that the City’s $1.3 million deficit is projected to be repaid by 2036, with a cumulative surplus of $9.1 million being generated by 2050. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 63 of 74 Page 2 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov The City expects to cover these projected annual shortfalls through a combination of general fund resources and a limited financial guarantee arrangement with the ownership group of Desert Point (“OG- DP”). The project analysis notes that the City has averaged approximately $3.5 million in available general fund reserves not allocated to any specific operating or capital expense over the six years from 2018 to 2023, and these unallocated funds can be used to cover deficits between tax increment revenues and debt service. The City plans to enter into an agreement with OG-DP in which the ownership group will reimburse the City for deficits between tax increment revenues and debt service up to a maximum of $10.0 million. The City’s project analysis did not include any information regarding the adequacy of the financial resources of the OG-DP to provide this guarantee to the City. Our review of the project analysis found potential risks worth consideration. A discussion of these risks, as well as other factors that could impact tax increment revenue projections, are included later in this review. Statutory Role and Purpose of Review As enacted by the 2021 Washington State Legislature, section RCW 39.114.020(7)(b) of the TIF Statute requires that prior to the adoption of an ordinance authorizing the creation of a TIA, the local government proposing the TIA must provide a project analysis to OST for review. Upon completing the review, OST must provide to the local government any comments regarding suggested revisions or enhancements to the project analysis that OST deems appropriate. OST received the City’s project analysis report dated February 9, 2024. OST’s primary goal in our statutorily mandated review is to ensure that the project analysis addresses the topics listed in the TIF statute and that risks to the City that might result from the implementation of the project are adequately disclosed. Project Team Jurisdiction: City of Moses Lake County: Grant County Redevelopment Area: City of Moses Lake TIA Consultants: Stowe Development & Strategies ECONorthwest D.A. Davidson Company (municipal advisor) K&L Gates (bond counsel) Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 64 of 74 Page 3 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov Proposed Tax Increment Area The City’s proposed TIA of approximately 96 acres is comprised of two undeveloped parcels with total assessed value (unimproved land) of $6,782,120 for the 2024 tax year. Located in the southeast portion of the City roughly one mile from Interstate 90, the TIA is shaped like a right-triangle with its longest side following Highway 17. The TIA was selected because it represents a planned development to be built over time following the infrastructure improvements to be funded by TIF revenues. (The TIA proposed for the Port of Moses Lake, with 5,100 acres to be developed for industrial projects, would be located to the northeast of the City’s TIA.) Figure 1 – Map of Proposed Tax Increment Area Source: City of Moses Lake Impacted Taxing Districts Four taxing districts with regular property tax levies would be directly impacted by the TIA. These districts are: (1) Grant County; (2) Port of Moses Lake; (3) Library District; and (4) Hospital District #1. After the TIA effective date, the levy rate for each of these jurisdictions will be applied to the increased AV within the TIA, with the tax increment revenues remitted to reimburse the City for debt service on the bonds and, potentially, to pay for the remaining unfunded public improvements. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 65 of 74 Page 4 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov Not all taxing districts would be impacted by the TIA. The property tax levies for State Schools (Part 1 and 2) and School District 161 would be excluded from the calculation of tax increment revenues. Project Description Public Improvements within the TIA To facilitate private development in the TIA, the project analysis identifies three categories of public improvements totaling $14.0 million (2024 dollars): 1) three roads; 2) utilities such as curbs, gutters, and sidewalks, storm, water, and sewer mains, landscaping, and gateway features; and 3) a round-about connecting the TIA to Highway 17. The costs are estimated at $9.0 million for the roads and utilities and $5.0 million for the round-about. The project analysis did not provide a detailed expenditure plan for the public improvements; however, the City expects to issue the first series of bonds in 2025 to finance $9.0 million the roads and utilities, and a second series of bonds by 2029 to finance $5.0 million for the round- about project in the event a state grant or other funding is not realized. Figure 2 – Map of Public Improvements within the TIA Source: City of Moses Lake The project analysis indicates that if the public improvements were required to be funded by private developers, only the most profitable developments could be built, reducing the size and scale of the proposed private development within the TIA. Without TIF revenues funding the public improvements, Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 66 of 74 Page 5 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov the City estimates that only 50% of the proposed private development would occur and take an additional five years to materialize. Private Development within the TIA The proposed private development within the TIA would be a large mixed-use project referred to as Desert Point. This project would develop 82 of the 96 TIA acres over three phases from 2025-2027, 2027-2029, and 2029-2031. At build-out, Desert Point is projected to include 510 multi-family rental units, a 60,000 sq. ft. hotel, large format retail space (340,000 sq. ft.), office and related space (81,000 sq. ft.), and general retail, food, and beverage locations (39,900 sq. ft.). Each development phase includes an average of 170 multi-family rental units and a mix of retail and office space. The details of this baseline scenario are summarized in Table 1. The projected market value of each phase is approximately $60.0 million with a total market value of $178.2 million for all phases (2023 dollars). Table 1 – Projected Private Development of the TIA in Three Phases Source: City of Moses Lake Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 67 of 74 Page 6 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov Assessed Value of the TIA As cited in the project analysis, the estimated AV of the two parcels within the TIA for the 2024 tax year is $6.8 million, or 0.2% of the City’s total AV of $2.97 billion, which is below the statutory limit of the lesser of $200 million in AV and 20% of the City’s total AV. The magnitude and timing of real property development in the TIA will drive growth in incremental assessed value and, therefore, will drive growth in tax increment revenues. For the baseline scenario provided by the City, the incremental taxable assessed value of the TIA was estimated by assigning market- based improvement prices reflecting the land use and size of the proposed private development. (Detailed year-over-year projections of assessed values within the TIA resulting from the $178.2 million baseline scenario were not provided by the City.) The assessed values used to calculate tax increment revenues assumes the market value of new development is added to the tax roll one year after construction is completed. The City assumes the TIA base value and the assessed values of newly developed properties will increase by 2.65% annually, which is described as slightly below the region’s 3.7% real rate of assessed valuation growth and reflective of modest growth assumed for the regional economy. Tax Increment Revenue Projections The TIA is expected to be created in 2024, with 2026 being the first year in which the City expects to receive tax increment revenues based on the tax increment produced in 2025. The term of the TIA is assumed to be 25 years (the maximum allowed) with 2050 being the final year in which tax increment revenues will be received. The City assumes a tax increment base AV of $6.8 million. In the baseline scenario, a projected $353.5 million in incremental AV would be added between 2026 and 2050, with $178.2 million from private development and $175.3 million from TIA assessed value growth. Under the baseline scenario, the City projects $23.5 million of tax increment revenues would be collected over the 25-year term of the TIA. See Table 2 – Tax Increment Revenues (Baseline Scenario). Under the TIF Statute, only certain regular levies are applied to the TIA. Both parts of the state school levy, local school district excess levies, voted bond levies, and levies of districts for bond payments are excluded from the TIA levy rate. The TIA’s annual levy rate may change year-to-year based on factors including the growth rate of the AV of overlapping taxing districts and relevant levy limits. The project analysis calculates the levy rate for each of these jurisdictions and applies the levy rates to the projected incremental AV within the TIA to calculate the projected tax allocation revenues provided in Table 2. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 68 of 74 Page 7 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov Table 2 – Tax Increment Revenues ($ nominal) Baseline Scenario Source: City of Moses Lake In addition to the baseline scenario, the City’s project analysis included three alternative scenarios with lower estimates of total tax increment revenues. These scenarios are referred to as the levy rate decline scenario, the lower valuation scenario, and the lower absorption scenario. Table 3 provides a summary description of each scenario with projected total tax increment revenue relative to the $23.5 million projected for the baseline scenario. (Detailed annual projections of tax increment revenues for the alternate scenarios were not provided by the City.) Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 69 of 74 Page 8 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov Table 3 – Alternative Tax Increment Revenue Scenarios TI Revenue Scenario Description Relative to Baseline Scenario Total TI Revenue ($ nominal) Levy Rate Decline The tax levy rates decline faster due to higher than assumed growth of assessed valuations in the taxing districts $19.7 million Lower Valuation The private development is assessed at 75% rather than 100% of the $178.2 million market value $17.6 million Lower Absorption The value of private development is 25% lower and requires three additional years to complete $15.7 million Source: City of Moses Lake Financing Plan for Public Improvements To fund $9.0 million of the proposed roads and utilities public improvements, the City plans to issue $9.0 million of tax-exempt LTGO Bonds in 2025. The City will issue a second series of bonds by 2029 to finance $5.0 million for the round-about project in the event that a state grant or other funding is not awarded to the City. As stated in the project analysis, because of their general obligation pledge, the City will be required to pay the full debt service due on these bonds from the City’s general fund resources, regardless of the amount of tax increment revenues generated within the TIA. The City’s structure for the Bonds assumes a 5.0% true interest cost with 20 equal annual payments for each series. The total principal and interest is estimated at $22.5 million for both series combined. The maximum annual debt service is projected to be $1.1 million from 2030 through 2045. For the baseline scenario, which includes both series of bonds being issued, annual deficits between tax increment revenues and debt service are projected to average $153,000 over the first 20 years of repayment, resulting in an accumulated deficit of $3.1 million by 2045. Tax increment revenues are forecast to exceed debt service annually from 2046-2050 such that by 2050 the City’s $3.1 million deficit is repaid, while also generating a surplus of $1.0 million. Alternatively, if the City receives a state grant for the round-about project and only issues the first series of bonds for $9.0 million, annual deficits between tax increment revenues and debt service are projected to average $337,000 over the first four years of repayment, resulting in an accumulated deficit of $1.3 million by 2029. Tax increment revenues are forecast to exceed debt service annually from 2030-2050 such that the $1.3 million deficit is repaid to the City by 2036, while generating a cumulative surplus of $9.1 million by 2050. The City expects to cover these projected annual shortfalls through a combination of general fund resources and a limited financial guarantee arrangement with OG-DP. The project analysis notes that the City has averaged approximately $3.5 million in available general fund reserves not allocated to any specific operating or capital expense over the six years from 2018 to 2023, and these unallocated funds can be used to cover deficits between tax increment revenues and debt service. Also, the City may reprioritize some capital spending to cover such deficits. The City plans to enter into an agreement with OG-DP in which the ownership group will reimburse the City for deficits between tax increment revenues and debt service up to a maximum of $10 million. The Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 70 of 74 Page 9 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov ownership group would be repaid by the City for any reimbursements if or when tax increment revenues exceed debt service in later years. The City’s project analysis did not include information regarding the adequacy of the financial resources of OG-DP to provide this guarantee to the City. Debt Capacity Based on the City’s 2024 total assessed value, the City has $44,509,055 in total non-voted debt capacity (1.5% of 2024 AV). The City currently has $1,452,152 in outstanding non-voted general obligation debt, leaving sufficient net non-voted debt capacity of $43,056,903 before the $14,000,000 in TIA bonds are anticipated to be issued in two series (2025 and by 2029). After these debt issuances, the City’s remaining non-voted debt capacity would be $29,056,903. Table 4 – Debt Capacity (2025 and 2029 Issuances) Assessed Valuation for 2024 Tax Year $ 2,967,270,315 Non-Voted Debt Capacity (1.5% of AV) 44,509,055 Less: Outstanding Non-Voted Debt 1,452,152 Remaining Non-Voted Debt Capacity 43,056,903 Less: Bonds Proposed 14,000,000 Projected Remaining Non-Voted Capacity $ 29,056,903 Projected Remaining Non-Voted Capacity (%) 65.3% Projected Debt Service Coverage Tables 5 and 6 below summarize the total tax increment revenues, revenue shortfalls, and debt service coverage for the two financing structures using the baseline tax increment projections. For the financing structures, cumulative shortfalls of $3.1 million and $1.4 million, respectively, would need to be covered using the City’s general fund resources. Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 71 of 74 Page 10 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov Table 5 – Tax Increment Revenues and Debt Service Coverage Development Scenario First Year Tax Increment Revenues Exceed Debt Service Year That Tax Increment Revenues Fully Reimburse Debt Service Shortfalls Total Projected TIF Revenue ($MMs) Total Projected Debt Service ($MMs) Projected Maximum Cumulative Shortfall ($MMs) Total Surplus/ (Shortfall) Through End of TIA ($MMs) Aggregate Debt Service Coverage Ratio Baseline with $14.0MM of Bonds 2026 2050 $23.51 $22.47 $3.07 $1.05 1.16x Baseline with $9.0MM of Bonds 2026 2036 $23.51 $14.44 $1.35 $9.07 1.23x Source: City of Moses Lake Table 6 – TIF Debt Service Coverage Source: City of Moses Lake Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 72 of 74 Page 11 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov Key Risks From OST’s review of the project analysis, it appears that the anticipated public improvements and corresponding economic development will provide benefits to the City and its community. Nonetheless, the proposed project comes with certain risks and costs to the City, which we attempt to summarize below: General Obligation Pledge: The LTGO Bonds expected to be issued in connection with the project’s plan of finance will obligate the City to pay the full amount of debt service due from City revenues and resources, regardless of the amount of tax increment revenues generated from the TIA. Because of the potential cost to the City’s general fund, it is essential that decision makers understand and accept the project’s risks and potential long-term costs in comparison to its benefits. Escalation of Project Costs: With an unclear timeline for the construction of the public improvements, inflation could have a significant impact on the cost of these projects. Construction Delays: Any delay in private development construction timelines could reduce the amount of tax increment revenues generated by the TIA. Permits: It is unclear where the projects are in the permitting process. Delays in permits could negatively impact the construction of the private developments within the TIA, potentially reducing the amount of tax increment revenues generated by the TIA. Economic Conditions: Growth in the TIA’s assessed value could be negatively impacted by depressed economic conditions. A variety of economic factors could negatively impact the demand for development, jeopardizing the timeline, scale, and market value of private development, potentially reducing the amount of tax increment revenues generated by the TIA. Assessed Valuations: As private developments are completed, the actual assessed values will depend on factors considered by the County Assessor’s office. Tax increment revenues could potentially be lower than projected if the assessed values of the projects are lower than expected or take longer than anticipated to be reflected on the County’s tax rolls, potentially reducing the amount of tax increment revenues generated by the TIA. Interest Rate Risk: The City will be exposed to interest rate risk until the anticipated bonds are sold. The project analysis assumed a relatively generic 5.0% financing rate for 20-year bonds which is relatively conservative based on current market data. Risk Summary: The general impact to the City from any of the risk factors outlined above could potentially be higher costs and/or lower than projected tax increment revenues and a greater than expected reliance on the City’s general revenues and reserves to pay the debt service due on the bonds issued to fund the public improvements, reducing the City’s ability to allocate those funds to other projects or operations. Recommendations To help ensure the financial success of the project, and to minimize unanticipated costs and risks, we recommend the City consider the following measures: 1. Prior to approving the TIA, we recommend the City coordinate closely with the taxing districts impacted by the project, and the County Assessor’s Office, to ensure that all parties have an Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 73 of 74 Page 12 of 12 Legislative Building, P.O. Box 40200 Olympia, Washington 98504-0200 (360) 902-9000 • TTY USERS: CALL 711 • FAX (360) 902-9037 www.tre.wa.gov accurate understanding of how the TIA will impact them and provide sufficient time to work through any concerns. 2. Prior to approving the TIA, we recommend that the City discuss and establish a policy regarding how much project related debt service it is able and willing to pay from general fund revenues and reserves on an annual basis, to offset projected as well as unanticipated tax increment revenue shortfalls. 3. We recommend that the City conservatively budget for and proactively set funds aside to cover its projected tax increment revenue shortfalls. 4. As the project moves forward, we recommend the City coordinate with the County Assessor’s Office to help ensure that the tax increment revenue projections match the County’s assessment process and are as accurate as possible. 5. Given the timeline for its bond issuances, we recommend the City periodically revisit its interest rate assumptions. 6. Given the timeline for public improvements, we recommend the City revisit public improvement cost projections frequently and utilize a publicly recognized inflation index to inform inflation projections. Thank you for the opportunity to review the City’s project analysis. Based upon the information provided to date in connection with this project, this concludes our review. If there are material changes in the scope, timing, or cost of the project, please let us know. We wish the City all the best with its project. Respectfully, Mike Pellicciotti Washington State Treasurer Jason Richter Deputy Treasurer Document Ref: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Page 74 of 74 Signature Certificate Reference number: EMWDG-UNV5J-QMFZF-XW3JK Document completed by all parties on: 16 May 2024 22:42:51 UTC Page 1 of 1 Signer Timestamp Signature Katherine Kenison Email: kkenison@basinlaw.com Recipient Verification: Sent:15 May 2024 18:46:47 UTC Viewed:15 May 2024 21:19:16 UTC Signed:15 May 2024 21:19:50 UTC ✔Email verified 15 May 2024 21:19:16 UTC IP address: 107.116.255.65 Mayor Dustin Swartz Email: dswartz@cityofml.com Recipient Verification: Sent:15 May 2024 18:46:47 UTC Viewed:15 May 2024 18:47:59 UTC Signed:16 May 2024 00:21:40 UTC ✔Email verified 15 May 2024 18:47:59 UTC IP address: 74.82.240.250 Location: Mattawa, United States Debbie Burke Email: dburke@cityofml.com Recipient Verification: Sent:15 May 2024 18:46:47 UTC Viewed:15 May 2024 18:48:07 UTC Signed:16 May 2024 22:42:51 UTC ✔Email verified 15 May 2024 18:48:07 UTC IP address: 63.135.54.162 Location: Moses Lake, United States Signed with PandaDoc PandaDoc is a document workflow and certified eSignature solution trusted by 50,000+ companies worldwide.